Sport Picks

Moldova

Super Liga 2025/2026 Sheriff Arena

Sheriff Tiraspol

1 - 0

Petrocub Hincesti

Our Tip

Match Events

Asprilla Moreno J.

17'

Sub

Asprilla Moreno J. In: Ghanem Q.

Out: Asprilla Moreno J.

26'

Sub

Hermesh L. In: Nihaev V.

Out: Hermesh L.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Super Liga 2025/2026 game between Sheriff Tiraspol and Petrocub Hincesti finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sheriff Tiraspol.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Sheriff Tiraspol

30%

Draws

34%

Petrocub Hincesti

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sheriff Tiraspol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

Petrocub Hincesti carry the better recent record into this one.
36% — that's where the model lands on Sheriff Tiraspol taking it.
Regular Super Liga 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 38%

Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 3%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%

Sheriff Tiraspol Clean Sheet 20%

Petrocub Hincesti Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Sheriff Tiraspol	Petrocub Hincesti
Matches Played	30	32
Wins	20	22
Draws	4	7
Losses	6	3
Goals Scored	1.25	2
Goals Conceded	0.25	0.63
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.25	0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2026 Moldovan Cup

Sheriff Tiraspol vs Petrocub Hincesti

Possession: 43% - 40% Cards: 4 - 3

2:0

May 6, 2026 Moldovan Cup

Petrocub Hincesti vs Sheriff Tiraspol

Possession: 48% - 45% Cards: 1 - 2

1:0

Apr 26, 2026 Super Liga

Petrocub Hincesti vs Sheriff Tiraspol

Possession: 48% - 51% Cards: 1 - 3

1:0

Mar 14, 2026 Super Liga

Sheriff Tiraspol vs Petrocub Hincesti

Possession: 42% - 50% Cards: 3 - 2

1:0

Nov 8, 2025 Super Liga

Petrocub Hincesti vs Sheriff Tiraspol

Possession: 47% - 60% Cards: 0 - 4

4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sheriff Tiraspol Compare

Top Goalscorer Asprilla Moreno J.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.63

Petrocub Hincesti Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82

Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sheriff Tiraspol 36 / 100

Petrocub Hincesti 34 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Sheriff Tiraspol Petrocub Hincesti

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Sheriff Tiraspol remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Sheriff Tiraspol found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Petrocub Hincesti has conceded goals in 44% of their last 32 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sheriff Tiraspol VS Petrocub Hincesti

1.25 Goals Scored 2

0.25 Goals Conceded 0.63

50% Over 1.5 88%

25% Over 2.5 50%

0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Petrocub Hincesti	10	8	1	1	20:3	40
2	Sheriff Tiraspol	10	7	2	1	14:5	34
3	Zimbru Chisinau	10	5	3	2	18:11	32
4	Milsami	10	2	3	5	5:13	19
5	CSF Balti	10	2	2	6	4:15	16
6	Dacia Buiucani	10	0	1	9	6:20	2