Sport Picks
Sheriff Tiraspol vs Petrocub Hincesti
Moldova
Moldovan Cup 2025/2026 Sheriff Arena, Tiraspol 
Match Events
11'
11'
Ambros V.
38'
38'
Fomba B.
46'
46'
Sub
David O. In: Lupan M.
Out: David O.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 2-0, with Sheriff Tiraspol advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Sheriff Tiraspol come out ahead of Petrocub Hincesti on wins alone.
- Sheriff Tiraspol are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Sheriff Tiraspol have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Sheriff Tiraspol, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Sheriff Tiraspol Clean Sheet 68%
Petrocub Hincesti Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sheriff Tiraspol | Petrocub Hincesti |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 36 | 32 |
| Wins | 21 | 18 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 8 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.72 | 1.72 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.92 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 5, 2026 Super Liga
Sheriff Tiraspol vs Petrocub Hincesti
2:2
Jul 19, 2026 Super Liga
Petrocub Hincesti vs Sheriff Tiraspol
2:3
May 13, 2026 Moldovan Cup
Sheriff Tiraspol vs Petrocub Hincesti
2:0
May 6, 2026 Moldovan Cup
Petrocub Hincesti vs Sheriff Tiraspol
1:0
Apr 26, 2026 Super Liga
Petrocub Hincesti vs Sheriff Tiraspol
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sheriff Tiraspol Compare
Top Goalscorer Fomba B.
1 Goals Assists Leader Ze Flores
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Petrocub Hincesti Compare
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sheriff Tiraspol 95 / 100
Petrocub Hincesti 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sheriff Tiraspol Petrocub Hincesti
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sheriff Tiraspol Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sheriff Tiraspol's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 36 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Sheriff Tiraspol stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Defensive concern: Petrocub Hincesti conceded in 59% of 32 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Sheriff Tiraspol VS Petrocub Hincesti
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Sheriff Tiraspol
(Home) 20 Sept
Sheriff Tiraspol
7 : 0 CSF Balti
13 Sept
Milsami
0 : 1 Sheriff Tiraspol
05 Sept
Sheriff Tiraspol
2 : 2 Petrocub Hincesti
29 Aug
Zimbru Chisinau
2 : 1 Sheriff Tiraspol
23 Aug
Sheriff Tiraspol
4 : 0 Politehnica UTM
Page 1 of 8
20 Sept
Sheriff Tiraspol
7 : 0 CSF Balti
05 Sept
Sheriff Tiraspol
2 : 2 Petrocub Hincesti
23 Aug
Sheriff Tiraspol
4 : 0 Politehnica UTM
09 Aug
Sheriff Tiraspol
1 : 0 Dacia Buiucani
06 Aug
Sheriff Tiraspol
1 : 3 St. Gallen
Page 1 of 4
Petrocub Hincesti
(Away) 19 Sept
Politehnica UTM
0 : 1 Petrocub Hincesti
12 Sept
Petrocub Hincesti
2 : 1 Real Sireti
05 Sept
Sheriff Tiraspol
2 : 2 Petrocub Hincesti
30 Aug
Petrocub Hincesti
3 : 0 CSF Balti
22 Aug
Milsami
1 : 0 Petrocub Hincesti
Page 1 of 7
19 Sept
Politehnica UTM
0 : 1 Petrocub Hincesti
05 Sept
Sheriff Tiraspol
2 : 2 Petrocub Hincesti
22 Aug
Milsami
1 : 0 Petrocub Hincesti
15 Aug
Dacia Buiucani
2 : 1 Petrocub Hincesti
09 Aug
Zimbru Chisinau
1 : 2 Petrocub Hincesti
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Petrocub Hincesti -
TBD -
Oguzsport 1
Olimp Comrat 2
Zaria Balti -
TBD -
Falesti 1
Victoria 2
Sheriff Tiraspol -
TBD -
FCM Ungheni 3
Steaua Nordului 2
Dacia Buiucani -
TBD -
Stauceni 7
National Ialoveni 3
Zimbru Chisinau -
TBD -
Univer Comrat 6
Constructorul Leova 1
Politehnica UTM -
TBD -
Real Sireti 7
CSFCJT Atletico 2
Milsami -
TBD -
Floresti 6
EFA Visoca 0
Sparta Selemet -
TBD -
Iskra Ribnita 4
FC Congaz 1
1/8-finals
Petrocub Hincesti 2
Olimp Comrat 0
CSF Balti 6
Victoria 1
Sheriff Tiraspol 7
FCM Ungheni 0
Dacia Buiucani 1
Stauceni 0
Zimbru Chisinau 10
Univer Comrat 0
Politehnica UTM 6
Real Sireti 1
Milsami 1
Floresti 0
Sparta Selemet 3
Iskra Ribnita 1
Quarter-finals
Petrocub Hincesti 2
CSF Balti 1
Sheriff Tiraspol 4
Dacia Buiucani 1
Zimbru Chisinau 10
Politehnica UTM 0
Milsami 5
Sparta Selemet 0
Semi-finals
Petrocub Hincesti 1
Sheriff Tiraspol 2
Zimbru Chisinau 3
Milsami 0
Final
Sheriff Tiraspol 2
Zimbru Chisinau 0
