Sport Picks
Sheriff Tiraspol vs Petrocub Hincesti
Moldova
Moldovan Cup Sheriff Arena, Tiraspol 
Match Events
11'
11'
Ambros V.
38'
38'
Fomba B.
46'
46'
Sub
David O. In: Lupan M.
Out: David O.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 2-0, with Sheriff Tiraspol advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Sheriff Tiraspol
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Sheriff Tiraspol come out ahead of Petrocub Hincesti on wins alone.
- Sheriff Tiraspol are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Sheriff Tiraspol have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Sheriff Tiraspol, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Sheriff Tiraspol Clean Sheet 68%
Petrocub Hincesti Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sheriff Tiraspol | Petrocub Hincesti |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 27 |
| Wins | 18 | 17 |
| Draws | 4 | 5 |
| Losses | 6 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 1.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.25 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.25 | 1.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 19, 2026 Super Liga
Petrocub Hincesti vs Sheriff Tiraspol
2:3
May 13, 2026 Moldovan Cup
Sheriff Tiraspol vs Petrocub Hincesti
2:0
May 6, 2026 Moldovan Cup
Petrocub Hincesti vs Sheriff Tiraspol
1:0
Apr 26, 2026 Super Liga
Petrocub Hincesti vs Sheriff Tiraspol
1:0
Mar 14, 2026 Super Liga
Sheriff Tiraspol vs Petrocub Hincesti
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sheriff Tiraspol Compare
Top Goalscorer Fomba B.
1 Goals Assists Leader Ze Flores
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Petrocub Hincesti Compare
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sheriff Tiraspol 95 / 100
Petrocub Hincesti 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sheriff Tiraspol Petrocub Hincesti
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick TIR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Recent resilience: Sheriff Tiraspol stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Sheriff Tiraspol's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Defensive concern: Petrocub Hincesti conceded in 56% of 27 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Sheriff Tiraspol VS Petrocub Hincesti
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
0.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
50% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Sheriff Tiraspol
(Home) 19 Jul
Petrocub Hincesti
2 : 3 Sheriff Tiraspol
16 Jul
Aluminij
0 : 1 Sheriff Tiraspol
12 Jul
Sheriff Tiraspol
4 : 2 Zimbru Chisinau
09 Jul
Sheriff Tiraspol
0 : 0 Aluminij
04 Jul
Politehnica UTM
0 : 0 Sheriff Tiraspol
Page 1 of 6
12 Jul
Sheriff Tiraspol
4 : 2 Zimbru Chisinau
09 Jul
Sheriff Tiraspol
0 : 0 Aluminij
28 Jun
Sheriff Tiraspol
3 : 0 Real Sireti
23 May
Sheriff Tiraspol
2 : 0 Zimbru Chisinau
13 May
Sheriff Tiraspol
2 : 0 Petrocub Hincesti
Page 1 of 3
Petrocub Hincesti
(Away) 19 Jul
Petrocub Hincesti
2 : 3 Sheriff Tiraspol
15 Jul
KF Egnatia
6 : 1 Petrocub Hincesti
11 Jul
CSF Balti
1 : 1 Petrocub Hincesti
08 Jul
Petrocub Hincesti
1 : 1 KF Egnatia
04 Jul
Petrocub Hincesti
5 : 0 Milsami
Page 1 of 6
15 Jul
KF Egnatia
6 : 1 Petrocub Hincesti
11 Jul
CSF Balti
1 : 1 Petrocub Hincesti
17 May
Zimbru Chisinau
1 : 1 Petrocub Hincesti
13 May
Sheriff Tiraspol
2 : 0 Petrocub Hincesti
02 May
Milsami
0 : 3 Petrocub Hincesti
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Petrocub Hincesti-
TBD-
Oguzsport1
Olimp Comrat2
Zaria Balti-
TBD-
Falesti1
Victoria2
Sheriff Tiraspol-
TBD-
FCM Ungheni3
Steaua Nordului2
Dacia Buiucani-
TBD-
Stauceni7
National Ialoveni3
Zimbru Chisinau-
TBD-
Univer Comrat6
Constructorul Leova1
Politehnica UTM-
TBD-
Real Sireti7
CSFCJT Atletico2
Milsami-
TBD-
Floresti6
EFA Visoca0
Sparta Selemet-
TBD-
Iskra Ribnita4
FC Congaz1
1/8-finals
Petrocub Hincesti2
Olimp Comrat0
CSF Balti6
Victoria1
Sheriff Tiraspol7
FCM Ungheni0
Dacia Buiucani1
Stauceni0
Zimbru Chisinau10
Univer Comrat0
Politehnica UTM6
Real Sireti1
Milsami1
Floresti0
Sparta Selemet3
Iskra Ribnita1
Quarter-finals
Petrocub Hincesti2
CSF Balti1
Sheriff Tiraspol4
Dacia Buiucani1
Zimbru Chisinau10
Politehnica UTM0
Milsami5
Sparta Selemet0
Semi-finals
Petrocub Hincesti1
Sheriff Tiraspol2
Zimbru Chisinau3
Milsami0
Final
Sheriff Tiraspol2
Zimbru Chisinau0