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Sheriff Tiraspol vs Sfintul Gheorghe

Moldova Moldova

Super Liga 2022/2023 Sheriff Arena
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sheriff Tiraspol play Sfintul Gheorghe in the Super Liga 2022/2023. Sheriff Tiraspol are favorites here. Recently, Sheriff Tiraspol averaged 1.71 goals scored and 0.58 conceded. Sfintul Gheorghe averaged 1 goals scored and 1.35 conceded. In past meetings, Sheriff Tiraspol won 4, Sfintul Gheorghe won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Aug 12, 2023 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.54 for Sheriff Tiraspol and 0.75 for Sfintul Gheorghe. This points to a Sheriff Tiraspol double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Sheriff Tiraspol
18%
Draws
26%
Sfintul Gheorghe
Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Sheriff Tiraspol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

83% / High Confidence
  • Sheriff Tiraspol picked up more points recently compared to Sfintul Gheorghe.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.54 vs 0.75 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 39%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24%
Sheriff Tiraspol Clean Sheet 27%
Sfintul Gheorghe Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 57%
Second Half Goal 60%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sheriff Tiraspol Sfintul Gheorghe
Matches Played 31 23
Wins 20 8
Draws 4 5
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.71 1
Goals Conceded 0.58 1.35

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 12, 2023 Super Liga
Sfintul Gheorghe vs Sheriff Tiraspol
0:0
May 14, 2023 Super Liga
Sfintul Gheorghe vs Sheriff Tiraspol
0:2
Apr 9, 2023 Super Liga
Sheriff Tiraspol vs Sfintul Gheorghe
1:0
Oct 2, 2022 Super Liga
Sheriff Tiraspol vs Sfintul Gheorghe
3:0
Aug 6, 2022 Super Liga
Sfintul Gheorghe vs Sheriff Tiraspol
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sheriff Tiraspol Compare

Top Goalscorer Akanbi R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Sfintul Gheorghe Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sheriff Tiraspol 56 / 100
Sfintul Gheorghe 25 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sheriff Tiraspol Sfintul Gheorghe

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sheriff Tiraspol Win (1)
Secondary Pick Sheriff Tiraspol & Under 3.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +16.5%
2.08
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +18.2%
3.03
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Sheriff Tiraspol attacking → ← attacking Sfintul Gheorghe

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sheriff Tiraspol scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

Sfintul Gheorghe let in goals in 61% of their last 23 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Sheriff Tiraspol went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Sfintul Gheorghe lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

64 Points in last 5 29
1.88 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
0.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Sheriff Tiraspol1073015:324
2Petrocub Hincesti1063116:621
3Zimbru Chisinau1033410:912
4Milsami1032510:1611
5Sfintul Gheorghe101454:137
6CSF Balti100555:135