Sport Picks

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Sheriff Tiraspol vs Zimbru Chisinau

Moldova Moldova

Super Liga Sheriff Arena, Tiraspol
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Asprilla Moreno J.
27'
Rai
32' Event
Sapata

AI Match Summary

Sheriff Tiraspol in this Super Liga matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sheriff Tiraspol.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Sheriff Tiraspol
15%
Draws
32%
Zimbru Chisinau
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sheriff Tiraspol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Sheriff Tiraspol have won more games recently than Zimbru Chisinau.
  • Sheriff Tiraspol are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Super Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Sheriff Tiraspol Clean Sheet 68%
Zimbru Chisinau Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sheriff Tiraspol Zimbru Chisinau
Matches Played 36 34
Wins 21 19
Draws 7 6
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.72 1.97
Goals Conceded 0.92 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Super Liga
Zimbru Chisinau vs Sheriff Tiraspol
2:1
Jul 12, 2026 Super Liga
Sheriff Tiraspol vs Zimbru Chisinau
4:2
May 23, 2026 Moldovan Cup
Sheriff Tiraspol vs Zimbru Chisinau
2:0
May 10, 2026 Super Liga
Sheriff Tiraspol vs Zimbru Chisinau
1:0
Apr 5, 2026 Super Liga
Zimbru Chisinau vs Sheriff Tiraspol
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sheriff Tiraspol Compare

Top Goalscorer Asprilla Moreno J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Sapata
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Zimbru Chisinau Compare

Top Goalscorer Matteo Amoroso
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zolotov N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sheriff Tiraspol 95 / 100
Zimbru Chisinau 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sheriff Tiraspol Zimbru Chisinau

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sheriff Tiraspol Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Sheriff Tiraspol's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 36 recent games.

Zimbru Chisinau has conceded goals in 62% of their last 34 outings.

Sheriff Tiraspol has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sheriff Tiraspol VS Zimbru Chisinau
2 Goals Scored 2.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sheriff Tiraspol

(Home)
20 Sept
Sheriff Tiraspol
7 : 0
CSF Balti
13 Sept
Milsami
0 : 1
Sheriff Tiraspol
05 Sept
Sheriff Tiraspol
2 : 2
Petrocub Hincesti
29 Aug
Zimbru Chisinau
2 : 1
Sheriff Tiraspol
23 Aug
Sheriff Tiraspol
4 : 0
Politehnica UTM
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Zimbru Chisinau

(Away)
27 Sept
Zimbru Chisinau
0 : 2
Bukovyna
27 Sept
Zimbru Chisinau
0 : 3
Bukovyna
19 Sept
Zimbru Chisinau
0 : 1
Dacia Buiucani
12 Sept
Zimbru Chisinau
2 : 1
Politehnica UTM
06 Sept
Real Sireti
0 : 2
Zimbru Chisinau
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sheriff Tiraspol 13 8 4 1 32:10 28
2 Zimbru Chisinau 13 8 2 3 27:12 26
3 Petrocub Hincesti 13 7 3 3 24:13 24
4 Dacia Buiucani 13 6 2 5 17:16 20
5 Milsami 13 4 5 4 13:17 17
6 Politehnica UTM 13 4 3 6 18:19 15
7 Real Sireti 13 0 7 6 8:19 7
8 CSF Balti 13 1 2 10 9:42 5
Promotion - Super Liga (Championship Group)
Relegation - Super Liga (Relegation Group)