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Sheriff Tiraspol vs Zimbru Chisinau

Moldova Moldova

Super Liga Sheriff Arena
Sun, Jul 12, 2026
4 - 2
05:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Asprilla Moreno J.
27'
32' Event
Sapata

AI Match Summary

Sheriff Tiraspol host Zimbru Chisinau in the Super Liga. This shapes up as a tight, low-scoring affair. Recent numbers: Sheriff Tiraspol at 1.25 goals for, 0.38 against; Zimbru Chisinau at 1.38 for, 0.63 against. Head-to-head, Sheriff Tiraspol have won 2 to Zimbru Chisinau's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on May 23, 2026, ending 2:0. Model xG sits at 0.94 vs 0.88, favoring Sheriff Tiraspol. Under 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Sheriff Tiraspol
33%
Draws
27%
Zimbru Chisinau
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Sheriff Tiraspol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Zimbru Chisinau average 1.38 goals a game right now, well clear of Sheriff Tiraspol's 1.25.
  • Sheriff Tiraspol are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Super Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Sheriff Tiraspol Clean Sheet 68%
Zimbru Chisinau Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sheriff Tiraspol Zimbru Chisinau
Matches Played 28 32
Wins 18 18
Draws 4 8
Losses 6 6
Goals Scored 1.25 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.38 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Moldovan Cup
Sheriff Tiraspol vs Zimbru Chisinau
2:0
May 10, 2026 Super Liga
Sheriff Tiraspol vs Zimbru Chisinau
1:0
Apr 5, 2026 Super Liga
Zimbru Chisinau vs Sheriff Tiraspol
2:2
Nov 23, 2025 Super Liga
Sheriff Tiraspol vs Zimbru Chisinau
0:1
Sep 21, 2025 Super Liga
Zimbru Chisinau vs Sheriff Tiraspol
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sheriff Tiraspol Compare

Top Goalscorer Asprilla Moreno J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Sapata
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Zimbru Chisinau Compare

Top Goalscorer Matteo Amoroso
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sheriff Tiraspol 50 / 100
Zimbru Chisinau 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sheriff Tiraspol Zimbru Chisinau

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TIR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sheriff Tiraspol went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Sheriff Tiraspol's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Zimbru Chisinau has conceded goals in 56% of their last 32 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sheriff Tiraspol VS Zimbru Chisinau
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Petrocub Hincesti32108:27
2Zimbru Chisinau21103:04
3CSF Balti31114:44
4Sheriff Tiraspol21103:04
5Politehnica UTM31112:44
6Dacia Buiucani21014:23
7Milsami20110:51
8Real Sireti30031:80