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Shevardeni Tbilisi vs Samegrelo

Georgia Georgia

Liga 3 2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Shevardeni Tbilisi in this Liga 3 2017 matchup, with the score ending 12-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Shevardeni Tbilisi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Shevardeni Tbilisi
15%
Draws
51%
Samegrelo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Samegrelo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Samegrelo lately — more wins on the board than Shevardeni Tbilisi.
  • 34% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Shevardeni Tbilisi Clean Sheet 15%
Samegrelo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shevardeni Tbilisi Samegrelo
Matches Played 7 30
Wins 2 11
Draws 1 4
Losses 4 15
Goals Scored 1.14 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 2.10 1.55
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 8, 2017 Liga 3
Shevardeni Tbilisi vs Samegrelo
12:0
Sep 26, 2017 Liga 3
Samegrelo vs Shevardeni Tbilisi
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shevardeni Tbilisi 30 / 100
Samegrelo 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shevardeni Tbilisi Samegrelo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shevardeni Tbilisi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Samegrelo has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 7.50 goals.

Shevardeni Tbilisi scored in 71% of their last 7 games.

Difficult form: Samegrelo registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Shevardeni Tbilisi VS Samegrelo
0 Goals Scored 2
0 Goals Conceded 3
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Shevardeni Tbilisi

(Home)
22 May
Shevardeni Tbilisi
0 : 1
Merani Martvili
16 May
FC Zugdidi
0 : 0
Shevardeni Tbilisi
10 May
Shevardeni Tbilisi
2 : 3
Spaeri
05 May
Shukura
2 : 1
Shevardeni Tbilisi
28 Apr
Samtredia
1 : 2
Shevardeni Tbilisi
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Samegrelo

(Away)
07 Aug
Samegrelo
0 : 3
Merani Martvili
07 Jul
Samegrelo
4 : 3
Didube
06 Dec
Samgurali II
2 : 1
Samegrelo
29 Nov
Samegrelo
2 : 0
FC Kolkheti Khobi
21 Nov
Betlemi Keda
1 : 0
Samegrelo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shevardeni Tbilisi 18 13 4 1 49:10 43
2 Telavi 18 12 3 3 56:15 39
3 Merani Tbilisi 18 12 3 3 45:21 39
4 FC Gardabani 18 9 4 5 40:18 31
5 Mark Stars Tbilisi 18 7 3 8 37:32 24
6 Khoni 18 5 6 7 13:26 21
7 Chiatura 18 5 2 11 15:33 17
8 Betlemi Keda 18 4 4 10 23:44 16
9 FC Kolkheti Khobi 18 3 4 11 9:39 13
10 Samegrelo 18 1 5 12 12:61 8
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2018 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2017 (Relegation)