Sport Picks

England

FA Cup 2020/2021

Alvechurch

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Shifnal Town play Alvechurch in the FA Cup 2020/2021. It looks like a close match. Recently, Shifnal Town averaged 0.92 goals scored and 1.08 conceded. Alvechurch averaged 1.3 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. In past meetings, Shifnal Town won 0, Alvechurch won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 22, 2020 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.48 for Shifnal Town and 1.30 for Alvechurch. This points to a Alvechurch double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%

Shifnal Town

26%

Draws

40%

Alvechurch

Draw rate projection: 26% Favored: Alvechurch

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence

Shifnal Town picked up more points recently compared to Alvechurch.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.48 vs 1.30 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 80%

Over 2.5 Goals 34%

Over 3.5 Goals 20%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%

Shifnal Town Clean Sheet 19%

Alvechurch Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 72%

Second Half Goal 76%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Shifnal Town	Alvechurch
Matches Played	13	30
Wins	4	10
Draws	4	7
Losses	5	13
Goals Scored	0.92	1.3
Goals Conceded	1.08	1.4

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 22, 2020 FA Cup

Shifnal Town vs Alvechurch

Possession: 51% - 55% Cards: 2 - 3

0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shifnal Town 34 / 100

Alvechurch 38 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Shifnal Town Alvechurch

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Alvechurch or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +30.9%

3.85

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +21.4%

3.57

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Shifnal Town attacking → ← attacking Alvechurch

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shifnal Town scored in 69% of their last 13 games.

Alvechurch let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Shifnal Town went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Alvechurch lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

16 Points in last 5 37

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.50

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75