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Shimal vs FC Khankendi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

I Liqa
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Ibrahimov E.
77' Event
Teymurov B.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this I Liqa matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Shimal
35%
Draws
19%
FC Khankendi
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Shimal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Shimal lately — more wins on the board than FC Khankendi.
  • 46% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular I Liqa form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Shimal Clean Sheet 20%
FC Khankendi Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shimal FC Khankendi
Matches Played 30 5
Wins 6 0
Draws 6 2
Losses 18 3
Goals Scored 0.9 0.8
Goals Conceded 2.17 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 0.72 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 9, 2026 I Liqa
Shimal vs FC Khankendi
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shimal Compare

Top Goalscorer Ibrahimov E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.55
Avg xA / game 0.36

FC Khankendi Compare

Top Goalscorer Teymurov B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.55

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shimal 31 / 100
FC Khankendi 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shimal FC Khankendi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shimal Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Khankendi let in goals in 100% of their last 5 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Shimal went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

FC Khankendi's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Shimal VS FC Khankendi
0.25 Goals Scored 0.6
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.2
50% Over 1.5 80%
25% Over 2.5 20%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Shimal

(Home)
09 Oct
Shimal
1 : 1
FC Khankendi
17 Sept
Shimal
1 : 4
Sahdag Qusar
11 Sept
MOIK Baku
1 : 1
Shimal
04 Sept
Shimal
1 : 2
Gancabasar
27 May
Shimal
2 : 1
Lokbatan
Page 1 of 6

FC Khankendi

(Away)
09 Oct
Shimal
1 : 1
FC Khankendi
18 Sept
FC Khankendi
0 : 2
MOIK Baku
10 Sept
Gancabasar
2 : 1
FC Khankendi
03 Sept
FC Khankendi
1 : 1
Sabail
29 Oct
FC Khankendi
1 : 2
Difai Agsu

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sahdag Qusar 4 4 0 0 13:1 12
2 Gancabasar 3 3 0 0 7:2 9
3 Sabail 4 2 2 0 5:3 8
4 Karvan 4 2 1 1 7:3 7
5 MOIK Baku 3 1 1 1 3:2 4
6 Zaqatala PFK 4 1 1 2 5:11 4
7 FC Khankendi 3 0 1 2 2:5 1
8 Mingachevir 3 0 1 2 3:7 1
9 Shimal 3 0 1 2 3:7 1
10 Baku Sporting 3 0 0 3 0:7 0
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - I Liqa (Relegation)