Sport Picks
Shimizu S-Pulse vs Avispa Fukuoka
Japan
J1 League 2026 IAI Stadium Nihondaira, Shizuoka 
Match Events
53'
53'
Okuno K.
56'
56'
Sub
Ohata R. In: Matsuzaki K.
Out: Ohata R.
56'
56'
Sub
Ahmedov A. In: Oh Se-Hun
Out: Ahmedov A.
AI Match Summary
Shimizu S-Pulse in this J1 League 2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Shimizu S-Pulse.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
30%
39%
31%
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ Medium Confidence
- Attack-wise there's a gap: Avispa Fukuoka at 1.38 per game, Shimizu S-Pulse at 1.13.
- 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%
Shimizu S-Pulse Clean Sheet 68%
Avispa Fukuoka Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Shimizu S-Pulse | Avispa Fukuoka |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 13 |
| Draws | 2 | 4 |
| Losses | 15 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.63 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.63 | 1.63 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 10, 2026 J1 League
Shimizu S-Pulse vs Avispa Fukuoka
2:1
Mar 18, 2026 J1 League
Avispa Fukuoka vs Shimizu S-Pulse
1:2
Aug 23, 2025 J1 League
Avispa Fukuoka vs Shimizu S-Pulse
0:0
Apr 20, 2025 J1 League
Shimizu S-Pulse vs Avispa Fukuoka
3:1
Sep 17, 2022 J1 League
Avispa Fukuoka vs Shimizu S-Pulse
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Shimizu S-Pulse Compare
Top Goalscorer Oh Se-Hun
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Avispa Fukuoka Compare
Top Goalscorer Usui S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Shimizu S-Pulse 41 / 100
Avispa Fukuoka 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Shimizu S-Pulse Avispa Fukuoka
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick SHI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Avispa Fukuoka conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.
Attacking prowess: Shimizu S-Pulse scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Shimizu S-Pulse has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Shimizu S-Pulse VS Avispa Fukuoka
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Shimizu S-Pulse
(Home) 18 Jul
Karlsruher
1 : 1 Shimizu S-Pulse
18 Jul
Karlsruher
1 : 3 Shimizu S-Pulse
14 Jul
Polissya Zhytomyr
1 : 3 Shimizu S-Pulse
06 Jun
Yokohama F. Marinos
3 : 0 Shimizu S-Pulse
31 May
Shimizu S-Pulse
1 : 1 Yokohama F. Marinos
Page 1 of 6
31 May
Shimizu S-Pulse
1 : 1 Yokohama F. Marinos
24 May
Shimizu S-Pulse
1 : 2 Gamba Osaka
10 May
Shimizu S-Pulse
2 : 1 Avispa Fukuoka
06 May
Shimizu S-Pulse
2 : 1 Cerezo Osaka
29 Apr
Shimizu S-Pulse
1 : 2 V-Varen Nagasaki
Page 1 of 3
Avispa Fukuoka
(Away) 19 Jul
Avispa Fukuoka
3 : 2 FC Osaka
11 Jul
Avispa Fukuoka
1 : 2 Giravanz Kitakyushu
06 Jun
Chiba
1 : 2 Avispa Fukuoka
30 May
Avispa Fukuoka
2 : 2 Chiba
23 May
Avispa Fukuoka
0 : 1 Vissel Kobe
Page 1 of 6
06 Jun
Chiba
1 : 2 Avispa Fukuoka
10 May
Shimizu S-Pulse
2 : 1 Avispa Fukuoka
03 May
Cerezo Osaka
2 : 1 Avispa Fukuoka
25 Apr
Okayama
2 : 0 Avispa Fukuoka
22 Apr
Gamba Osaka
1 : 2 Avispa Fukuoka
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 15 | 0 | 3 | 31:11 | 45 |
| 2 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 13 | 0 | 5 | 32:18 | 37 |
| 3 | Machida Zelvia | 18 | 13 | 0 | 5 | 28:22 | 37 |
| 4 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 26:28 | 28 |
| 5 | Verdy | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 22:26 | 28 |
| 6 | Urawa Reds | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 25:22 | 25 |
| 7 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 18 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 28:31 | 20 |
| 8 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 22:24 | 20 |
| 9 | Mito | 18 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 23:39 | 18 |
| 10 | Chiba | 18 | 3 | 0 | 15 | 18:34 | 12 |
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 29:25 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka | 18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 30:21 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 33:31 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 31:23 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 31:25 | 28 |
| 6 | Okayama | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 26:29 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 23:25 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 22:28 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 21:29 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 21:31 | 21 |
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)