Sport Picks
Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Leningradets - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Russia
FNL Stadion Shinnik, Yaroslavl 
Match Events
46'
46'
Sub
Antonov A. In: Gongapshev A.
Out: Antonov A.
46'
46'
Sub
Samoylov D. In: Martovoy D.
Out: Samoylov D.
49'
49'
Golubev A.
AI Match Summary
The FNL game between Shinnik Yaroslavl and Leningradets finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Shinnik Yaroslavl.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
30%
35%
35%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Leningradets have managed 1.11 goals a game lately — Shinnik Yaroslavl are scoring more at 1.25.
- Shinnik Yaroslavl are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular FNL form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- Shinnik Yaroslavl have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Shinnik Yaroslavl Clean Sheet 68%
Leningradets Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Shinnik Yaroslavl | Leningradets |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 10 | 10 |
| Draws | 15 | 6 |
| Losses | 3 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.25 | 1.11 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.82 | 1.86 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 19, 2026 FNL
Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Leningradets
2:0
Mar 30, 2024 FNL
Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Leningradets
0:0
Aug 12, 2023 FNL
Leningradets vs Shinnik Yaroslavl
0:1
May 28, 2022 FNL 2 - Group 2
Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Leningradets
2:0
Apr 30, 2022 FNL 2 - Group 2
Leningradets vs Shinnik Yaroslavl
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Shinnik Yaroslavl Compare
Top Goalscorer Azyavin I.
1 Goals Assists Leader Martovoy D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Leningradets Compare
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Shinnik Yaroslavl 95 / 100
Leningradets 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Shinnik Yaroslavl Leningradets
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Shinnik Yaroslavl Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Shinnik Yaroslavl scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.
Leningradets's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.
Shinnik Yaroslavl went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Historical meetings average 1.20 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Shinnik Yaroslavl VS Leningradets
1 Goals Scored 1.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Shinnik Yaroslavl
(Home) 27 Sept
Shinnik Yaroslavl
0 : 0 SKA Khabarovsk
18 Sept
Shinnik Yaroslavl
0 : 1 Kamaz
14 Sept
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1 : 1 Ural
10 Sept
Shinnik Yaroslavl
2 : 0 Torpedo Moscow
05 Sept
Shinnik Yaroslavl
2 : 2 R. Volgograd
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Shinnik Yaroslavl
0 : 0 SKA Khabarovsk
18 Sept
Shinnik Yaroslavl
0 : 1 Kamaz
14 Sept
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1 : 1 Ural
10 Sept
Shinnik Yaroslavl
2 : 0 Torpedo Moscow
05 Sept
Shinnik Yaroslavl
2 : 2 R. Volgograd
Page 1 of 3
Leningradets
(Away) 03 Oct
Dynamo Makhachkala
3 : 2 Leningradets
26 Sept
Ulyanovsk
0 : 1 Leningradets
17 Sept
Pari Nizhny Novgorod
6 : 0 Leningradets
13 Sept
Leningradets
2 : 2 Tekstilshtik
09 Sept
Saratov
1 : 2 Leningradets
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Dynamo Makhachkala
3 : 2 Leningradets
26 Sept
Ulyanovsk
0 : 1 Leningradets
17 Sept
Pari Nizhny Novgorod
6 : 0 Leningradets
09 Sept
Saratov
1 : 2 Leningradets
09 Aug
Veles Moscow
2 : 1 Leningradets
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pari Nizhny Novgorod | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 36:14 | 31 |
| 2 | Ural | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 20:6 | 25 |
| 3 | S. Kostroma | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 16:10 | 24 |
| 4 | PFC Sochi | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 21:14 | 23 |
| 5 | Veles Moscow | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 17:16 | 23 |
| 6 | Torpedo Moscow | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 21:9 | 21 |
| 7 | Ufa | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 16:13 | 18 |
| 8 | R. Volgograd | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 20:14 | 17 |
| 9 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 12 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 15:13 | 16 |
| 10 | Yenisey | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 15:20 | 14 |
| 11 | Ulyanovsk | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 16:19 | 14 |
| 12 | Arsenal Tula | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 12:22 | 13 |
| 13 | Leningradets | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 10:20 | 13 |
| 14 | Neftekhimik | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 7:15 | 12 |
| 15 | Chelyabinsk | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 13:19 | 12 |
| 16 | Kamaz | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 11:19 | 9 |
| 17 | Tekstilshtik | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 8:19 | 7 |
| 18 | SKA Khabarovsk | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 11:23 | 6 |
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League (Relegation)
