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Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Neftekhimik - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

FNL Stadion Shinnik, Yaroslavl
Sat, Nov 21, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Shinnik Yaroslavl host Neftekhimik in the FNL. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Neftekhimik have shipped 1.37 goals a game lately, while Shinnik Yaroslavl have conceded 0.97 and scored 1.24. Past meetings favor Neftekhimik slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 14, 2026, ending 0:2. The numbers (1.31 xG vs 1.00) point toward Shinnik Yaroslavl. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Shinnik Yaroslavl
20%
Draws
10%
Neftekhimik
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Shinnik Yaroslavl

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Shinnik Yaroslavl carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Shinnik Yaroslavl's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Shinnik Yaroslavl Clean Sheet 20%
Neftekhimik Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shinnik Yaroslavl Neftekhimik
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 8
Draws 15 7
Losses 4 15
Goals Scored 1.24 0.97
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2026 FNL
Neftekhimik vs Shinnik Yaroslavl
0:2
Mar 28, 2026 FNL
Neftekhimik vs Shinnik Yaroslavl
0:0
Oct 15, 2025 Russian Cup
Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Neftekhimik
1:2
Aug 10, 2025 FNL
Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Neftekhimik
0:2
Mar 29, 2025 FNL
Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Neftekhimik
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shinnik Yaroslavl 49 / 100
Neftekhimik 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shinnik Yaroslavl Neftekhimik

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shinnik Yaroslavl Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shinnik Yaroslavl's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Neftekhimik has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Solid form: Shinnik Yaroslavl remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Shinnik Yaroslavl VS Neftekhimik
1 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Shinnik Yaroslavl

(Home)
01 Nov
Chelyabinsk
2 : 0
Shinnik Yaroslavl
26 Oct
Shinnik Yaroslavl
2 : 1
S. Kostroma
18 Oct
Veles Moscow
1 : 1
Shinnik Yaroslavl
14 Oct
Pari Nizhny Novgorod
4 : 0
Shinnik Yaroslavl
10 Oct
Shinnik Yaroslavl
2 : 0
Tekstilshtik
Page 1 of 6

Neftekhimik

(Away)
31 Oct
Neftekhimik
0 : 2
SKA Khabarovsk
25 Oct
Neftekhimik
1 : 1
Leningradets
17 Oct
Kamaz
2 : 1
Neftekhimik
09 Oct
Neftekhimik
2 : 4
Chelyabinsk
18 Sept
Neftekhimik
0 : 1
Ural
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pari Nizhny Novgorod 16 14 1 1 48:15 43
2 PFC Sochi 16 10 2 4 26:17 32
3 Ural 16 9 4 3 27:11 31
4 Torpedo Moscow 16 8 5 3 28:13 29
5 S. Kostroma 16 8 4 4 22:16 28
6 Veles Moscow 17 8 4 5 21:20 28
7 Shinnik Yaroslavl 16 5 8 3 20:17 23
8 Ulyanovsk 17 6 4 7 22:23 22
9 Ufa 16 5 7 4 18:15 22
10 R. Volgograd 16 5 5 6 23:18 20
11 Arsenal Tula 16 5 4 7 19:33 19
12 Chelyabinsk 16 5 3 8 21:26 18
13 Leningradets 16 4 5 7 15:26 17
14 Kamaz 16 3 5 8 20:28 14
15 Yenisey 16 3 5 8 16:33 14
16 SKA Khabarovsk 16 3 4 9 20:28 13
17 Neftekhimik 16 4 1 11 11:24 13
18 Tekstilshtik 16 2 5 9 12:26 11
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