Sport Picks
Shinnik Yaroslavl vs R. Volgograd - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Russia
FNL Stadion Shinnik, Yaroslavl 
Match Events
15'
15'
Umnikov M.
26'
26'
Khubulov A.
33'
33'
Lanin O.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this FNL matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
30%
35%
35%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- R. Volgograd have won more games recently than Shinnik Yaroslavl.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Shinnik Yaroslavl Clean Sheet 22%
R. Volgograd Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Shinnik Yaroslavl | R. Volgograd |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 14 |
| Draws | 15 | 6 |
| Losses | 3 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.25 | 1.55 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.82 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 5, 2026 FNL
Shinnik Yaroslavl vs R. Volgograd
2:2
Nov 9, 2025 FNL
R. Volgograd vs Shinnik Yaroslavl
3:0
Sep 28, 2025 FNL
Shinnik Yaroslavl vs R. Volgograd
2:0
Jan 29, 2025 Club Friendly
Shinnik Yaroslavl vs R. Volgograd
1:1
Dec 1, 2024 FNL
R. Volgograd vs Shinnik Yaroslavl
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Shinnik Yaroslavl Compare
Top Goalscorer Gongapshev A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Valiakhmetov E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
R. Volgograd Compare
Top Goalscorer Khubulov A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Troshechkin A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Shinnik Yaroslavl 37 / 100
R. Volgograd 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Shinnik Yaroslavl R. Volgograd
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick R. Volgograd Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Shinnik Yaroslavl scored in 79% of their last 28 games.
Defensive concern: R. Volgograd conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.
Shinnik Yaroslavl has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Shinnik Yaroslavl VS R. Volgograd
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Shinnik Yaroslavl
(Home) 27 Sept
Shinnik Yaroslavl
0 : 0 SKA Khabarovsk
18 Sept
Shinnik Yaroslavl
0 : 1 Kamaz
14 Sept
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1 : 1 Ural
10 Sept
Shinnik Yaroslavl
2 : 0 Torpedo Moscow
05 Sept
Shinnik Yaroslavl
2 : 2 R. Volgograd
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27 Sept
Shinnik Yaroslavl
0 : 0 SKA Khabarovsk
18 Sept
Shinnik Yaroslavl
0 : 1 Kamaz
14 Sept
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1 : 1 Ural
10 Sept
Shinnik Yaroslavl
2 : 0 Torpedo Moscow
05 Sept
Shinnik Yaroslavl
2 : 2 R. Volgograd
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R. Volgograd
(Away) 17 Sept
Tekstilshtik
0 : 2 R. Volgograd
13 Sept
R. Volgograd
4 : 0 Yenisey
09 Sept
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
2 : 0 R. Volgograd
05 Sept
Shinnik Yaroslavl
2 : 2 R. Volgograd
31 Aug
S. Kostroma
1 : 0 R. Volgograd
Page 1 of 6
17 Sept
Tekstilshtik
0 : 2 R. Volgograd
09 Sept
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
2 : 0 R. Volgograd
05 Sept
Shinnik Yaroslavl
2 : 2 R. Volgograd
31 Aug
S. Kostroma
1 : 0 R. Volgograd
20 Aug
Arsenal Tula
2 : 1 R. Volgograd
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pari Nizhny Novgorod | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 36:14 | 31 |
| 2 | Veles Moscow | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 19:17 | 26 |
| 3 | Ural | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 21:8 | 25 |
| 4 | S. Kostroma | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 18:13 | 24 |
| 5 | PFC Sochi | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 21:14 | 23 |
| 6 | Torpedo Moscow | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 21:9 | 21 |
| 7 | Ufa | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 16:13 | 18 |
| 8 | R. Volgograd | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 20:14 | 17 |
| 9 | Arsenal Tula | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 15:24 | 16 |
| 10 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 12 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 15:13 | 16 |
| 11 | Chelyabinsk | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17:21 | 15 |
| 12 | Yenisey | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 15:20 | 14 |
| 13 | Ulyanovsk | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 16:19 | 14 |
| 14 | Leningradets | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 10:20 | 13 |
| 15 | Neftekhimik | 13 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 9:19 | 12 |
| 16 | Kamaz | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 14:22 | 10 |
| 17 | Tekstilshtik | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 8:19 | 7 |
| 18 | SKA Khabarovsk | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 14:26 | 7 |
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League (Relegation)
