Sport Picks
Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Ural Prediction & H2H Stats
Russia
FNL Stadion Shinnik, Yaroslavl 
Match Events
8'
8'
Karpov V.
9'
9'
Assis Goncalves I. F.
11'
11'
Yanov D.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this FNL matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
24%
35%
41%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ural
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
24%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Ural lately — more wins on the board than Shinnik Yaroslavl.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Shinnik Yaroslavl Clean Sheet 68%
Ural Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Shinnik Yaroslavl | Ural |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 14 |
| Draws | 15 | 7 |
| Losses | 3 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.37 | 1.53 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.77 | 0.83 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 14, 2026 FNL
Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Ural
1:1
May 4, 2026 FNL
Ural vs Shinnik Yaroslavl
0:1
Jul 19, 2025 FNL
Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Ural
0:1
Nov 10, 2024 FNL
Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Ural
0:2
Jul 20, 2024 FNL
Ural vs Shinnik Yaroslavl
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Shinnik Yaroslavl Compare
Top Goalscorer Azyavin I.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Ural Compare
Top Goalscorer Sekulic M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Shinnik Yaroslavl 41 / 100
Ural 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Shinnik Yaroslavl Ural
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Shinnik Yaroslavl Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Shinnik Yaroslavl scored in 80% of their last 30 games.
These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Shinnik Yaroslavl remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Ural has conceded goals in 53% of their last 30 outings.
Scoring Trends
Shinnik Yaroslavl VS Ural
1.5 Goals Scored 1.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Shinnik Yaroslavl
(Home) 27 Sept
Shinnik Yaroslavl
0 : 0 SKA Khabarovsk
18 Sept
Shinnik Yaroslavl
0 : 1 Kamaz
14 Sept
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1 : 1 Ural
10 Sept
Shinnik Yaroslavl
2 : 0 Torpedo Moscow
05 Sept
Shinnik Yaroslavl
2 : 2 R. Volgograd
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Shinnik Yaroslavl
0 : 0 SKA Khabarovsk
18 Sept
Shinnik Yaroslavl
0 : 1 Kamaz
14 Sept
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1 : 1 Ural
10 Sept
Shinnik Yaroslavl
2 : 0 Torpedo Moscow
05 Sept
Shinnik Yaroslavl
2 : 2 R. Volgograd
Page 1 of 4
Ural
(Away) 26 Sept
S. Kostroma
1 : 2 Ural
18 Sept
Neftekhimik
0 : 1 Ural
14 Sept
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1 : 1 Ural
10 Sept
Luki-Energiya
2 : 1 Ural
06 Sept
Ural
2 : 0 Kamaz
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
S. Kostroma
1 : 2 Ural
18 Sept
Neftekhimik
0 : 1 Ural
14 Sept
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1 : 1 Ural
10 Sept
Luki-Energiya
2 : 1 Ural
29 Aug
Arsenal Tula
2 : 2 Ural
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pari Nizhny Novgorod | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 36:14 | 31 |
| 2 | Ural | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 20:6 | 25 |
| 3 | S. Kostroma | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 16:10 | 24 |
| 4 | PFC Sochi | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 21:14 | 23 |
| 5 | Veles Moscow | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 16:14 | 23 |
| 6 | Torpedo Moscow | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 21:9 | 21 |
| 7 | Ufa | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 16:13 | 18 |
| 8 | R. Volgograd | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 20:14 | 17 |
| 9 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 12 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 15:13 | 16 |
| 10 | Yenisey | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 15:20 | 14 |
| 11 | Arsenal Tula | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 12:22 | 13 |
| 12 | Leningradets | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 10:20 | 13 |
| 13 | Neftekhimik | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 7:15 | 12 |
| 14 | Chelyabinsk | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 13:19 | 12 |
| 15 | Ulyanovsk | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 14:18 | 11 |
| 16 | Kamaz | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 11:19 | 9 |
| 17 | Tekstilshtik | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 8:19 | 7 |
| 18 | SKA Khabarovsk | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 11:23 | 6 |
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League (Relegation)
