Sport Picks

Armenia

Premier League 2025/2026 Gyumri City Stadium

Shirak Gyumri

0 - 4

Ararat-Armenia

Our Tip

Match Events

Eloyan A.

45'

Eloyan A.

Assist: Ambartsumyan A.

46'

Sub

Mnatsakanyan H. In: Sumbulyan T.

Out: Mnatsakanyan H.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Shirak Gyumri and Ararat-Armenia finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ararat-Armenia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Shirak Gyumri

44%

Draws

20%

Ararat-Armenia

Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence

Ararat-Armenia carry the better recent record into this one.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
These two have met 5 times recently and Ararat-Armenia have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 50%

Over 4.5 Goals 23%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%

Shirak Gyumri Clean Sheet 23%

Ararat-Armenia Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Shirak Gyumri	Ararat-Armenia
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	5	17
Draws	6	6
Losses	19	7
Goals Scored	1.25	1.75
Goals Conceded	1.75	0.88
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.75	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 20, 2026 Premier League

Shirak Gyumri vs Ararat-Armenia

Possession: 48% - 55% Cards: 1 - 3

0:4

Apr 2, 2026 Armenian Cup

Shirak Gyumri vs Ararat-Armenia

Possession: 58% - 51% Cards: 1 - 2

0:2

Mar 4, 2026 Armenian Cup

Ararat-Armenia vs Shirak Gyumri

Possession: 42% - 41% Cards: 4 - 0

1:0

Dec 1, 2025 Premier League

Ararat-Armenia vs Shirak Gyumri

Possession: 48% - 40% Cards: 2 - 1

4:1

Aug 24, 2025 Premier League

Shirak Gyumri vs Ararat-Armenia

Possession: 45% - 58% Cards: 1 - 4

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shirak Gyumri Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.63

Ararat-Armenia Compare

Top Goalscorer Eloyan A.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Balanta J. A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.59

Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shirak Gyumri 37 / 100

Ararat-Armenia 32 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Shirak Gyumri Ararat-Armenia

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ARA Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:3

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Ararat-Armenia conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Shirak Gyumri has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Shirak Gyumri's goal record stands at 43% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Shirak Gyumri VS Ararat-Armenia

1.25 Goals Scored 1.75

1.75 Goals Conceded 0.88

75% Over 1.5 63%

50% Over 2.5 50%

50% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ararat-Armenia	27	18	6	3	50:25	60
2	Noah	27	16	8	3	61:19	56
3	Pyunik Yerevan	27	17	4	6	37:18	55
4	Alashkert	27	16	5	6	42:23	53
5	Urartu	27	14	7	6	43:26	49
6	Van	27	9	4	14	27:40	31
7	BKMA	27	4	11	12	30:42	23
8	FC Gandzasar	27	5	6	16	20:41	21
9	Ararat Yerevan	27	3	4	20	21:63	13
10	Shirak Gyumri	27	2	7	18	17:51	13