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Shirak Gyumri vs FC Gandzasar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Armenia Armenia

Premier League Gyumri City Stadium, Gyumri
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Shirak Gyumri host FC Gandzasar in the Premier League. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Shirak Gyumri have averaged 0.86 scored and 1.55 conceded recently, against FC Gandzasar's 0.86 scored and 1.86 conceded. Past meetings favor Shirak Gyumri slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 14, 2026, ending 0:1. The numbers (1.81 xG vs 1.06) point toward Shirak Gyumri. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Shirak Gyumri
15%
Draws
0%
FC Gandzasar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Shirak Gyumri

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Shirak Gyumri carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Shirak Gyumri a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Shirak Gyumri Clean Sheet 20%
FC Gandzasar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shirak Gyumri FC Gandzasar
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 6 4
Draws 5 6
Losses 18 18
Goals Scored 0.86 0.86
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2026 Premier League
FC Gandzasar vs Shirak Gyumri
0:1
Apr 26, 2026 Premier League
FC Gandzasar vs Shirak Gyumri
3:2
Nov 22, 2025 Premier League
Shirak Gyumri vs FC Gandzasar
1:0
Aug 30, 2025 Premier League
FC Gandzasar vs Shirak Gyumri
1:1
May 17, 2025 Premier League
FC Gandzasar vs Shirak Gyumri
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shirak Gyumri 58 / 100
FC Gandzasar 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shirak Gyumri FC Gandzasar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shirak Gyumri Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Gandzasar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 28 matches.

FC Gandzasar's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Shirak Gyumri found the back of the net in 41% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Shirak Gyumri VS FC Gandzasar
1.38 Goals Scored 0.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Shirak Gyumri

(Home)
17 Oct
Ararat Yerevan
1 : 1
Shirak Gyumri
12 Oct
Syunik
2 : 0
Shirak Gyumri
20 Sept
Shirak Gyumri
1 : 3
Ararat-Armenia
13 Sept
Pyunik Yerevan
2 : 0
Shirak Gyumri
06 Sept
Shirak Gyumri
2 : 0
Sardarapat
Page 1 of 6

FC Gandzasar

(Away)
16 Oct
FC Gandzasar
1 : 2
Sardarapat
10 Oct
Van
2 : 0
FC Gandzasar
18 Sept
FC Gandzasar
0 : 3
Urartu
12 Sept
FC Gandzasar
0 : 2
Ararat Yerevan
04 Sept
Noah
3 : 2
FC Gandzasar
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Noah 10 9 1 0 27:7 28
2 Ararat-Armenia 10 7 2 1 19:9 23
3 Pyunik Yerevan 10 6 4 0 24:9 22
4 Alashkert 10 5 4 1 24:8 19
5 Urartu 10 4 3 3 19:14 15
6 Sardarapat 10 4 3 3 17:18 15
7 Shirak Gyumri 10 3 2 5 12:13 11
8 Ararat Yerevan 10 3 2 5 9:16 11
9 BKMA 10 2 2 6 8:16 8
10 Van 10 2 1 7 8:26 7
11 Syunik 10 1 2 7 6:22 5
12 FC Gandzasar 10 1 0 9 9:24 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - First League 2027/2028 (Main)