Sport Picks
Shire Endaselassie vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank
Ethiopia
Premier League 
Match Events
48'
48'
Darge D.
90'
90'
Daniel N.
90'
90'
Ketema D.
AI Match Summary
Shire Endaselassie in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Shire Endaselassie.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
30%
39%
31%
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ Medium Confidence
- Ethiopia Nigd Bank have won more games recently than Shire Endaselassie.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Shire Endaselassie Clean Sheet 68%
Ethiopia Nigd Bank Clean Sheet 21%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Shire Endaselassie | Ethiopia Nigd Bank |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 6 | 10 |
| Draws | 12 | 9 |
| Losses | 12 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 0.5 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.00 | 0.75 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 27, 2026 Premier League
Shire Endaselassie vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank
2:1
Oct 24, 2025 Premier League
Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Shire Endaselassie
0:0
Mar 5, 2025 Premier League
Shire Endaselassie vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank
0:1
Jan 23, 2025 Premier League
Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Shire Endaselassie
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Shire Endaselassie Compare
Top Goalscorer Darge D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Ketema D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25
Ethiopia Nigd Bank Compare
Top Goalscorer Daniel N.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Shire Endaselassie 41 / 100
Ethiopia Nigd Bank 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Shire Endaselassie Ethiopia Nigd Bank
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick SHI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ethiopia Nigd Bank's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.
H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.
Shire Endaselassie has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Shire Endaselassie scored in 40% of their last 30 games.
Scoring Trends
Shire Endaselassie VS Ethiopia Nigd Bank
0.5 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Shire Endaselassie
(Home) 02 Jul
Shire Endaselassie
0 : 2 Sheger Ketema FC
27 Jun
Ethiopian Insurance
0 : 3 Shire Endaselassie
22 Jun
Shire Endaselassie
0 : 0 St. Georges
15 Jun
Arba Menche
2 : 0 Shire Endaselassie
29 May
Shire Endaselassie
1 : 1 Hadiya Hossana
Page 1 of 6
02 Jul
Shire Endaselassie
0 : 2 Sheger Ketema FC
22 Jun
Shire Endaselassie
0 : 0 St. Georges
29 May
Shire Endaselassie
1 : 1 Hadiya Hossana
14 May
Shire Endaselassie
1 : 0 Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
05 May
Shire Endaselassie
1 : 0 Ethio Electric S.C.
Page 1 of 3
Ethiopia Nigd Bank
(Away) 03 Jul
Ethiopia Nigd Bank
2 : 2 Bahir Dar Kenema
26 Jun
Negele Arsi Ketema FC
2 : 0 Ethiopia Nigd Bank
20 Jun
Ethiopia Nigd Bank
0 : 0 Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
15 Jun
Adama City
2 : 1 Ethiopia Nigd Bank
30 May
Ethiopia Nigd Bank
2 : 1 Ethio Electric S.C.
Page 1 of 6
26 Jun
Negele Arsi Ketema FC
2 : 0 Ethiopia Nigd Bank
15 Jun
Adama City
2 : 1 Ethiopia Nigd Bank
19 May
Hadiya Hossana
0 : 0 Ethiopia Nigd Bank
11 May
Ethiopian Insurance
2 : 1 Ethiopia Nigd Bank
30 Apr
Arba Menche
0 : 0 Ethiopia Nigd Bank
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sidama Bunna | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 43:23 | 68 |
| 2 | Negele Arsi Ketema FC | 38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 37:30 | 60 |
| 3 | Mechal SC | 38 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 44:31 | 57 |
| 4 | Fasil Kenema | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 28:28 | 55 |
| 5 | Ethio Electric S.C. | 38 | 13 | 15 | 10 | 32:26 | 54 |
| 6 | St. Georges | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 33:31 | 54 |
| 7 | Welayta Dicha | 38 | 11 | 18 | 9 | 37:31 | 51 |
| 8 | Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 40:39 | 51 |
| 9 | Hawassa | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 37:32 | 50 |
| 10 | Sheger Ketema FC | 38 | 11 | 17 | 10 | 34:31 | 50 |
| 11 | Bahir Dar Kenema | 38 | 9 | 21 | 8 | 28:28 | 48 |
| 12 | Hadiya Hossana | 38 | 11 | 15 | 12 | 31:35 | 48 |
| 13 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 45:45 | 47 |
| 14 | Ethiopian Insurance | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 30:31 | 46 |
| 15 | Adama City | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 35:39 | 46 |
| 16 | Welwalo Adigrat | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 32:36 | 46 |
| 17 | Shire Endaselassie | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 24:32 | 42 |
| 18 | Dire Dawa | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 27:41 | 42 |
| 19 | Mekelle 70 Enderta FC | 38 | 8 | 16 | 14 | 26:38 | 40 |
| 20 | Arba Menche | 38 | 7 | 14 | 17 | 30:46 | 35 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2026/2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2026/2027 (Qualification)