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Shire Endaselassie vs Sheger Ketema FC

Ethiopia Ethiopia

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

71' Event
Fikru B.
90' Event
Gebreyes I.

AI Match Summary

Sheger Ketema FC in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sheger Ketema FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Shire Endaselassie
44%
Draws
20%
Sheger Ketema FC
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Sheger Ketema FC have won more games recently than Shire Endaselassie.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
Shire Endaselassie Clean Sheet 20%
Sheger Ketema FC Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shire Endaselassie Sheger Ketema FC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 8
Draws 12 14
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 0.5 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 2, 2026 Premier League
Shire Endaselassie vs Sheger Ketema FC
0:2
Feb 4, 2026 Premier League
Sheger Ketema FC vs Shire Endaselassie
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shire Endaselassie Compare

Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Sheger Ketema FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Fikru B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gebreyes I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shire Endaselassie 36 / 100
Sheger Ketema FC 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shire Endaselassie Sheger Ketema FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SHE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shire Endaselassie went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Shire Endaselassie's goal record stands at 40% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Sheger Ketema FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 50% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Shire Endaselassie VS Sheger Ketema FC
0.5 Goals Scored 0.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 38%
13% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sidama Bunna381911843:2368
2Negele Arsi Ketema FC381515837:3060
3Mechal SC381415944:3157
4Fasil Kenema3814131128:2855
5Ethio Electric S.C.3813151032:2654
6St. Georges3814121233:3154
7Welayta Dicha381118937:3151
8Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)3813121340:3951
9Hawassa3812141237:3250
10Sheger Ketema FC3811171034:3150
11Bahir Dar Kenema38921828:2848
12Hadiya Hossana3811151231:3548
13Ethiopia Nigd Bank3811141345:4547
14Ethiopian Insurance3810161230:3146
15Adama City3810161235:3946
16Welwalo Adigrat3810161232:3646
17Shire Endaselassie389151424:3242
18Dire Dawa389151427:4142
19Mekelle 70 Enderta FC388161426:3840
20Arba Menche387141730:4635