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Shkendija Tetovo vs Brera Strumica

North Macedonia North Macedonia

1. MFL 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

2'
Latifi L.
22'
Alhassan A.
46'
Sub
Latifi L. In: Tamba F.
Out: Latifi L.

AI Match Summary

The 1. MFL 2025/2026 game between Shkendija Tetovo and Brera Strumica finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Shkendija Tetovo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Shkendija Tetovo
17%
Draws
13%
Brera Strumica
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Shkendija Tetovo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Shkendija Tetovo come out ahead of Brera Strumica on wins alone.
  • Model gives Shkendija Tetovo a 70% chance of winning this.
  • Regular 1. MFL 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Shkendija Tetovo here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 27%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Shkendija Tetovo Clean Sheet 68%
Brera Strumica Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shkendija Tetovo Brera Strumica
Matches Played 35 29
Wins 23 7
Draws 3 9
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.13 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.86

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2026 1. MFL
Shkendija Tetovo vs Brera Strumica
2:1
Mar 9, 2026 1. MFL
Shkendija Tetovo vs Brera Strumica
1:1
Jan 15, 2026 Club Friendly
Shkendija Tetovo vs Brera Strumica
3:0
Oct 31, 2025 1. MFL
Brera Strumica vs Shkendija Tetovo
2:3
Mar 31, 2025 1. MFL
Shkendija Tetovo vs Brera Strumica
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shkendija Tetovo Compare

Top Goalscorer Tamba F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ndzengue F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Brera Strumica Compare

Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.79

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shkendija Tetovo 77 / 100
Brera Strumica 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shkendija Tetovo Brera Strumica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SKD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shkendija Tetovo found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (35 games).

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Brera Strumica conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Shkendija Tetovo stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Shkendija Tetovo VS Brera Strumica
1.13 Goals Scored 1.43
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.86
75% Over 1.5 43%
63% Over 2.5 43%
25% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Shkendija Tetovo

(Home)
26 Jul
Shkendija Tetovo
3 : 0
FK Skopje
23 Jul
Bravo
2 : 1
Shkendija Tetovo
16 Jul
Shkendija Tetovo
1 : 0
Europa FC
09 Jul
Europa FC
0 : 5
Shkendija Tetovo
30 Jun
Zorya
2 : 2
Shkendija Tetovo
Page 1 of 7

Brera Strumica

(Away)
18 Jul
Rabotnicki
1 : 0
Brera Strumica
31 May
Brera Strumica
0 : 1
FK Skopje
24 May
Brera Strumica
6 : 0
Shkupi
15 May
Shkendija Tetovo
2 : 1
Brera Strumica
10 May
Brera Strumica
2 : 2
Rabotnicki
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vardar33265280:2183
2Shkendija Tetovo33235567:3074
3Struga33195968:2862
4Sileks331651259:3653
5Tikves331461359:4748
6Arsimi331371350:5346
7Bashkimi331191340:5442
8Pelister3310101341:4240
9Brera Strumica3310101346:5640
10Makedonija GP33971742:5734
11Rabotnicki33961845:5833
12Shkupi33013215:1301
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - 1. MFL 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. MFL (Main)