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Stadium Background

Shkendija Tetovo vs Jagiellonia

Europe Europe

Conference League 2025/2026 National Arena Toshe Proeski
Our Tip

Match Events

44'
Sub
Zejnullai A. In: Krasniqi E.
Out: Zejnullai A.
49' Event
Latifi L.
Assist: Webster R.
50'
Alhassan A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Conference League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Shkendija Tetovo
39%
Draws
30%
Jagiellonia
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Shkendija Tetovo have won more games recently than Jagiellonia.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Conference League 2025/2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Shkendija Tetovo Clean Sheet 15%
Jagiellonia Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shkendija Tetovo Jagiellonia
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 17 11
Draws 4 10
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 1.13 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 6, 2025 Conference League
Shkendija Tetovo vs Jagiellonia
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shkendija Tetovo Compare

Top Goalscorer Latifi L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Jagiellonia Compare

Top Goalscorer Lozano S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shkendija Tetovo 31 / 100
Jagiellonia 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shkendija Tetovo Jagiellonia

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JAG Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shkendija Tetovo found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Jagiellonia has conceded goals in 67% of their last 27 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Shkendija Tetovo stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Shkendija Tetovo VS Jagiellonia
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Strasbourg651011:516
2Rakow Czestochowa64209:214
3AEK641114:713
4Sparta Prague641110:313
5Rayo Vallecano641113:713
6Shakhtar641110:513
7Mainz64117:313
8AEK Larnaca63307:112
9Lausanne63216:311
10Crystal Palace631211:610
11Lech Poznan631212:810
12Samsunspor631210:610
13Celje63128:710
14AZ Alkmaar63127:710
15Fiorentina63038:59
16Rijeka62315:29
17Jagiellonia62315:49
18Omonia62225:48
19Noah62226:78
20Drita62224:88
21KuPS61416:57
22Shkendija Tetovo62134:57
23Zrinjski62138:107
24Sigma Olomouc62137:97
25Univ. Craiova62136:87
26Lincoln Red Imps62137:157
27Dynamo Kyiv62049:96
28Legia62048:86
29Slovan Bratislava62045:96
30Breidablik61236:115
31Shamrock Rovers61147:134
32Hacken60335:83
33Hamrun61054:113
34Shelbourne60240:72
35Aberdeen60243:142
36Rapid Vienna60153:141