Sport Picks

North Macedonia

1. MFL 2025/2026

Struga

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Shkendija Tetovo play Struga in the 1. MFL 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Shkendija Tetovo averaged 1.79 goals scored and 1.28 conceded. Struga averaged 1.63 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. In past meetings, Shkendija Tetovo won 3, Struga won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 9, 2026 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.44 for Shkendija Tetovo and 1.38 for Struga. This points to a Shkendija Tetovo double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%

Shkendija Tetovo

26%

Draws

27%

Struga

Draw rate projection: 26% Favored: Shkendija Tetovo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence

Shkendija Tetovo picked up more points recently compared to Struga.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.44 vs 1.38 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 81%

Over 2.5 Goals 55%

Over 3.5 Goals 33%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 53%

Shkendija Tetovo Clean Sheet 17%

Struga Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 73%

Second Half Goal 77%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Shkendija Tetovo	Struga
Matches Played	29	30
Wins	17	10
Draws	4	8
Losses	8	12
Goals Scored	1.79	1.63
Goals Conceded	1.28	1.1
Expected Goals (xG)	1.63	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.50	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 1. MFL

Shkendija Tetovo vs Struga

Possession: 49% - 52% Cards: 0 - 3

3:1

Mar 18, 2026 Macedonian Cup

Struga vs Shkendija Tetovo

Possession: 41% - 42% Cards: 3 - 2

2:3

Feb 10, 2026 1. MFL

Shkendija Tetovo vs Struga

Possession: 51% - 48% Cards: 2 - 1

2:0

Sep 17, 2025 1. MFL

Struga vs Shkendija Tetovo

Possession: 48% - 41% Cards: 2 - 3

1:1

May 4, 2025 1. MFL

Struga vs Shkendija Tetovo

Possession: 54% - 53% Cards: 3 - 0

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shkendija Tetovo Compare

Top Goalscorer Islami D.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Mazari A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.81

Struga Compare

Top Goalscorer Jevtoski S.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.14

Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shkendija Tetovo 46 / 100

Struga 26 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Shkendija Tetovo Struga

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Shkendija Tetovo or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +20.3%

2.56

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.2%

2.04

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Shkendija Tetovo attacking → ← attacking Struga

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shkendija Tetovo scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Struga let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Shkendija Tetovo went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Struga lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

55 Points in last 5 38

1.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.25

1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Vardar	33	26	5	2	80:21	83
2	Shkendija Tetovo	33	23	5	5	67:30	74
3	Struga	33	19	5	9	68:28	62
4	Sileks	33	16	5	12	59:36	53
5	Tikves	33	14	6	13	59:47	48
6	Arsimi	33	13	7	13	50:53	46
7	Bashkimi	33	11	9	13	40:54	42
8	Pelister	33	10	10	13	41:42	40
9	Brera Strumica	33	10	10	13	46:56	40
10	Makedonija GP	33	9	7	17	42:57	34
11	Rabotnicki	33	9	6	18	45:58	33
12	Shkupi	33	0	1	32	15:130	1