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Shkumbini Peqin vs Beselidhja Lezha - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Albania Albania

First Division 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Alessandro
19' Event
Bushi D.
45' Event
Icaro

AI Match Summary

The First Division 2021/2022 game between Shkumbini Peqin and Beselidhja Lezha finished 2-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Beselidhja Lezha.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Shkumbini Peqin
15%
Draws
85%
Beselidhja Lezha
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Beselidhja Lezha

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Beselidhja Lezha come out ahead of Shkumbini Peqin on wins alone.
  • Beselidhja Lezha are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular First Division 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Shkumbini Peqin Clean Sheet 10%
Beselidhja Lezha Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shkumbini Peqin Beselidhja Lezha
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 2 6
Draws 2 8
Losses 26 18
Goals Scored 0.77 0.78
Goals Conceded 2.97 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.46 2.42
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 19, 2022 Kategoria e Parë
Shkumbini Peqin vs Beselidhja Lezha
2:5
Nov 21, 2021 Kategoria e Parë
Beselidhja Lezha vs Shkumbini Peqin
2:0
Feb 8, 2020 Kategoria e Parë
Shkumbini Peqin vs Beselidhja Lezha
0:0
Oct 27, 2019 Kategoria e Parë
Beselidhja Lezha vs Shkumbini Peqin
2:0
Apr 26, 2008 Abissnet Superiore
Beselidhja Lezha vs Shkumbini Peqin
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shkumbini Peqin Compare

Top Goalscorer Alessandro
1 Goals
Assists Leader Icaro
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.12
Avg xA / game 0.73

Beselidhja Lezha Compare

Top Goalscorer Danaj R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Bushi D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.2
Avg xA / game 1.34

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shkumbini Peqin 10 / 100
Beselidhja Lezha 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shkumbini Peqin Beselidhja Lezha

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Beselidhja Lezha Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Beselidhja Lezha's defensive record shows goals conceded in 78% of 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Shkumbini Peqin scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Away concern: Beselidhja Lezha has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Shkumbini Peqin VS Beselidhja Lezha
0.67 Goals Scored 0.5
4.33 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 75%
100% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Shkumbini Peqin

(Home)
15 Oct
Besa Kavaje
5 : 0
Shkumbini Peqin
16 Oct
Luzi
5 : 0
Shkumbini Peqin
18 Oct
Kastrioti
3 : 2
Shkumbini Peqin
12 Oct
KF Egnatia
3 : 0
Shkumbini Peqin
28 Sept
Shkumbini Peqin
0 : 3
KF Egnatia
Page 1 of 6

Beselidhja Lezha

(Away)
06 Oct
Beselidhja Lezha
2 : 1
Sopoti Librazhd
20 Sept
Beselidhja Lezha
2 : 1
Besa Kavaje
16 Sept
Bylis
0 : 0
Beselidhja Lezha
12 Sept
Beselidhja Lezha
1 : 2
Korabi Peshkopi
05 Sept
Kukesi
2 : 0
Beselidhja Lezha
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bylis 30 22 3 5 51:18 69
2 Erzeni Shijak 30 21 4 5 57:18 67
3 Korabi Peshkopi 30 17 8 5 35:22 59
4 Apolonia Fier 30 16 3 11 44:25 51
5 Terbuni Puka 30 12 11 7 21:16 47
6 Tomori Berat 30 12 8 10 45:31 44
7 Lushnja 30 10 12 8 31:27 42
8 Burreli 30 10 11 9 30:24 41
9 Besa Kavaje 30 12 4 14 36:40 40
10 Beselidhja Lezha 30 12 3 15 45:54 39
11 Pogradeci 30 10 8 12 32:37 38
12 Turbina Cerrik 30 11 4 15 31:44 37
13 Butrinti Sarande 30 9 7 14 32:36 34
14 Maliqi 30 6 5 19 32:62 23
15 Vora 30 5 6 19 32:54 21
16 Shkumbini Peqin 30 5 3 22 30:76 18
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Superliga 2021/2022 (Relegation)
Relegation - First Division 2021/2022 (Relegation)
Relegation - First Division 2021/2022 (Relegation)