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Shkumbini Peqin vs Terbuni Puka - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Albania Albania

First Division 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Mezini A.
48' Event
Osma X.
74'
Ruqi S.

AI Match Summary

Terbuni Puka in this First Division 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Terbuni Puka.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Shkumbini Peqin
15%
Draws
85%
Terbuni Puka
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Terbuni Puka

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Terbuni Puka lately — more wins on the board than Shkumbini Peqin.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Terbuni Puka taking it.
  • Regular First Division 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Shkumbini Peqin Clean Sheet 10%
Terbuni Puka Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shkumbini Peqin Terbuni Puka
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 2 8
Draws 2 4
Losses 26 19
Goals Scored 0.77 0.84
Goals Conceded 2.97 1.84
Expected Goals (xG) 1.02 2.35
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 19, 2022 Kategoria e Parë
Shkumbini Peqin vs Terbuni Puka
1:2
Oct 17, 2021 Kategoria e Parë
Terbuni Puka vs Shkumbini Peqin
0:0
Feb 22, 2020 Kategoria e Parë
Shkumbini Peqin vs Terbuni Puka
0:0
Nov 9, 2019 Kategoria e Parë
Terbuni Puka vs Shkumbini Peqin
1:1
Mar 1, 2014 Kategoria e Parë
Terbuni Puka vs Shkumbini Peqin
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shkumbini Peqin Compare

Top Goalscorer Osma X.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.78
Avg xA / game 0.51

Terbuni Puka Compare

Top Goalscorer Mezini A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Peqini J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.14
Avg xA / game 1.31

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shkumbini Peqin 14 / 100
Terbuni Puka 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shkumbini Peqin Terbuni Puka

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Terbuni Puka Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Terbuni Puka conceded in 84% of 31 recent games.

Difficult form: Terbuni Puka registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Shkumbini Peqin scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Shkumbini Peqin VS Terbuni Puka
0.67 Goals Scored 0.38
4.33 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 50%
100% Over 2.5 38%
100% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Shkumbini Peqin

(Home)
15 Oct
Besa Kavaje
5 : 0
Shkumbini Peqin
16 Oct
Luzi
5 : 0
Shkumbini Peqin
18 Oct
Kastrioti
3 : 2
Shkumbini Peqin
12 Oct
KF Egnatia
3 : 0
Shkumbini Peqin
28 Sept
Shkumbini Peqin
0 : 3
KF Egnatia
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Terbuni Puka

(Away)
07 Oct
Korabi Peshkopi
2 : 1
Terbuni Puka
15 Oct
Kukesi
3 : 1
Terbuni Puka
16 Oct
Besa Kavaje
4 : 3
Terbuni Puka
18 Oct
Terbuni Puka
2 : 4
Vora
13 May
Terbuni Puka
0 : 3
KF Oriku
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bylis 30 22 3 5 51:18 69
2 Erzeni Shijak 30 21 4 5 57:18 67
3 Korabi Peshkopi 30 17 8 5 35:22 59
4 Apolonia Fier 30 16 3 11 44:25 51
5 Terbuni Puka 30 12 11 7 21:16 47
6 Tomori Berat 30 12 8 10 45:31 44
7 Lushnja 30 10 12 8 31:27 42
8 Burreli 30 10 11 9 30:24 41
9 Besa Kavaje 30 12 4 14 36:40 40
10 Beselidhja Lezha 30 12 3 15 45:54 39
11 Pogradeci 30 10 8 12 32:37 38
12 Turbina Cerrik 30 11 4 15 31:44 37
13 Butrinti Sarande 30 9 7 14 32:36 34
14 Maliqi 30 6 5 19 32:62 23
15 Vora 30 5 6 19 32:54 21
16 Shkumbini Peqin 30 5 3 22 30:76 18
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Superliga 2021/2022 (Relegation)
Relegation - First Division 2021/2022 (Relegation)
Relegation - First Division 2021/2022 (Relegation)