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Shkupi vs Bashkimi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

North Macedonia North Macedonia

1. MFL 2025/2026
Shkupi Logo

Shkupi

2 - 3
FT
Bashkimi Logo

Bashkimi

Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Memeti R. In: Manasievski D.
Out: Memeti R.
50' Event
Ziberi A.
51' Event
Chajani S.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Bashkimi in this 1. MFL 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bashkimi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Shkupi
20%
Draws
80%
Bashkimi
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bashkimi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bashkimi lately — more wins on the board than Shkupi.
  • Bashkimi are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular 1. MFL 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Shkupi Clean Sheet 10%
Bashkimi Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shkupi Bashkimi
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 0 7
Draws 1 8
Losses 28 14
Goals Scored 0.28 1.1
Goals Conceded 4.14 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 23, 2026 1. MFL
Shkupi vs Bashkimi
2:3
Mar 3, 2026 1. MFL
Shkupi vs Bashkimi
0:2
Oct 24, 2025 1. MFL
Bashkimi vs Shkupi
4:1
Oct 15, 2023 Club Friendly
Bashkimi vs Shkupi
0:1
May 27, 2005 1. MFL
Shkupi vs Bashkimi
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shkupi Compare

Top Goalscorer Ziberi A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Chajani S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Bashkimi Compare

Top Goalscorer Lichina E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ribeiro L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shkupi 10 / 100
Bashkimi 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shkupi Bashkimi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bashkimi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Bashkimi let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Attacking prowess: Shkupi scored in 21% of their last 29 outings.

Bashkimi's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Shkupi VS Bashkimi
0.13 Goals Scored 1.38
2.88 Goals Conceded 2.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Shkupi

(Home)
20 Sept
Brera Strumica
7 : 0
Shkupi
13 Sept
Shkupi
0 : 4
Pelister
09 Sept
Kamenica Sasa
1 : 0
Shkupi
05 Sept
Gorno Lisice
4 : 0
Shkupi
30 Aug
Shkupi
1 : 3
Teteks
Page 1 of 6

Bashkimi

(Away)
04 Oct
Gjilani
3 : 0
Bashkimi
27 Sept
Drita
1 : 1
Bashkimi
18 Sept
Shkendija Tetovo
4 : 1
Bashkimi
12 Sept
Bashkimi
3 : 3
Vardar
09 Sept
BVK Konjare
0 : 5
Bashkimi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vardar 33 26 5 2 80:21 83
2 Shkendija Tetovo 33 23 5 5 67:30 74
3 Struga 33 19 5 9 68:28 62
4 Sileks 33 16 5 12 59:36 53
5 Tikves 33 14 6 13 59:47 48
6 Arsimi 33 13 7 13 50:53 46
7 Bashkimi 33 11 9 13 40:54 42
8 Pelister 33 10 10 13 41:42 40
9 Brera Strumica 33 10 10 13 46:56 40
10 Makedonija GP 33 9 7 17 42:57 34
11 Rabotnicki 33 9 6 18 45:58 33
12 Shkupi 33 0 1 32 15:130 1
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - 1. MFL 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. MFL (Main)