Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Shkupi vs Besa 1976

North Macedonia North Macedonia

1. MFL 2024/2025 Chair Stadion
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Shefiti S.
28' Event
Lazarov A.
Own Goal
32' Event
Asani X.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Besa 1976 in this 1. MFL 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Besa 1976.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Shkupi
6%
Draws
90%
Besa 1976
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Besa 1976

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Shkupi haven't matched Besa 1976's recent run of results.
  • Besa 1976 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular 1. MFL 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Shkupi Clean Sheet 10%
Besa 1976 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shkupi Besa 1976
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 1 11
Draws 2 4
Losses 29 15
Goals Scored 0.25 0
Goals Conceded 2.88 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 9, 2025 1. MFL
Shkupi vs Besa 1976
2:3
Dec 8, 2024 1. MFL
Besa 1976 vs Shkupi
0:1
Sep 25, 2024 1. MFL
Shkupi vs Besa 1976
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shkupi Compare

Top Goalscorer Avornyo E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.19
Avg xA / game 0.13

Besa 1976 Compare

Top Goalscorer Shefiti S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Stojanovski V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shkupi 10 / 100
Besa 1976 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shkupi Besa 1976

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BES Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Besa 1976 has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.67 goals when they meet.

Shkupi's goal record stands at 41% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Besa 1976's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Shkupi VS -
0.25 Goals Scored 0
2.88 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Shkendija Tetovo332010359:3070
2Sileks331910457:1967
3Rabotnicki331511738:2156
4Struga331312841:3751
5Vardar331291239:3745
6Pelister331091426:3839
7Shkupi331081547:4738
8Tikves337131325:3334
9Brera Strumica33971741:5634
10Besa 197633961834:5333
11KF Gostivar331212936:3421
12Voska Sport33572125:63-5