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Shmona vs Hapoel Tel Aviv - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Israel Israel

Toto Cup Kiryat Shmona Municipal Stadium, Kiryat Shmona
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Ugarriza A.
Assist: David S.
13'
Benbenishti O.
30'
Benbenishti O.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. This leg finished 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Shmona
15%
Draws
65%
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hapoel Tel Aviv

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Hapoel Tel Aviv have won more games recently than Shmona.
  • Hapoel Tel Aviv are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Hapoel Tel Aviv arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Hapoel Tel Aviv, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Shmona Clean Sheet 16%
Hapoel Tel Aviv Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shmona Hapoel Tel Aviv
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 13 17
Draws 4 9
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.53 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.85
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Toto Cup
Shmona vs Hapoel Tel Aviv
1:2
Dec 13, 2025 Ligat ha'Al
Shmona vs Hapoel Tel Aviv
2:2
Aug 23, 2025 Ligat ha'Al
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Shmona
2:1
May 6, 2023 Ligat ha'Al
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Shmona
2:2
Feb 18, 2023 Ligat ha'Al
Shmona vs Hapoel Tel Aviv
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shmona Compare

Top Goalscorer Ugarriza A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Hapoel Tel Aviv Compare

Top Goalscorer Dappa D.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shmona 10 / 100
Hapoel Tel Aviv 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shmona Hapoel Tel Aviv

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hapoel Tel Aviv Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shmona found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Hapoel Tel Aviv has conceded goals in 47% of their last 34 outings.

Shmona has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Shmona VS Hapoel Tel Aviv
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Shmona

(Home)
19 Sept
H. Beer Sheva
1 : 0
Shmona
14 Sept
Shmona
0 : 4
Maccabi Haifa
05 Sept
Hapoel Jerusalem
4 : 2
Shmona
29 Aug
Shmona
2 : 0
Ironi Tiberias
22 Aug
Maccabi Petah Tikva
2 : 1
Shmona
Page 1 of 6

Hapoel Tel Aviv

(Away)
18 Sept
Hapoel Tel Aviv
3 : 0
Hapoel Petah Tikva
14 Sept
Maccabi Tel Aviv
4 : 1
Hapoel Tel Aviv
07 Sept
Hapoel Tel Aviv
4 : 0
Hapoel Ramat Gan
03 Sept
Hapoel Tel Aviv
3 : 0
Beitar Jerusalem
30 Aug
Hapoel Haifa
0 : 0
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Netanya 0
Maccabi Tel Aviv 1
Shmona 1
Hapoel Tel Aviv 2
Final
Maccabi Tel Aviv -
Hapoel Tel Aviv -