Sport Picks
Shmona vs Maccabi Bnei Raina
Israel
Toto Cup 2025 Kiryat Shmona Municipal Stadium, Kiryat Shmona 
Match Events
2'
2'
Ugarriza A.
4'
4'
Darwish O.
21'
21'
Sefer A.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-2, with Maccabi Bnei Raina advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
60%
22%
18%
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Shmona
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
82%
/ Very High Confidence
- Maccabi Bnei Raina haven't matched Shmona's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Shmona's way, sitting at 60%.
- Shmona have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Maccabi Bnei Raina, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Shmona Clean Sheet 68%
Maccabi Bnei Raina Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Shmona | Maccabi Bnei Raina |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 8 |
| Draws | 6 | 3 |
| Losses | 12 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 1.75 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.38 | 1.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 9, 2026 Ligat ha'Al
Maccabi Bnei Raina vs Shmona
1:1
Dec 30, 2025 Ligat ha'Al
Maccabi Bnei Raina vs Shmona
3:1
Sep 13, 2025 Ligat ha'Al
Shmona vs Maccabi Bnei Raina
3:1
Jul 30, 2025 Toto Cup
Shmona vs Maccabi Bnei Raina
1:2
Mar 29, 2025 Ligat ha'Al
Shmona vs Maccabi Bnei Raina
0:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Shmona Compare
Top Goalscorer Ugarriza A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Maccabi Bnei Raina Compare
Top Goalscorer Kanani A.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Shmona 68 / 100
Maccabi Bnei Raina 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Shmona Maccabi Bnei Raina
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick KIR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Shmona scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.
Maccabi Bnei Raina's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Shmona remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Shmona VS Maccabi Bnei Raina
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Shmona
(Home) 10 Jul
Hapoel Haifa
0 : 0 Shmona
07 Jul
Yehuda
2 : 0 Shmona
18 May
Shmona
2 : 3 SC Ashdod
13 May
Sakhnin
0 : 4 Shmona
09 May
Maccabi Bnei Raina
1 : 1 Shmona
Page 1 of 6
18 May
Shmona
2 : 3 SC Ashdod
03 May
Shmona
2 : 0 Hapoel Haifa
29 Apr
Shmona
1 : 0 Netanya
19 Apr
Shmona
3 : 1 Hapoel Jerusalem
04 Apr
Shmona
2 : 0 Sakhnin
Page 1 of 3
Maccabi Bnei Raina
(Away) 18 May
Maccabi Bnei Raina
1 : 4 Netanya
13 May
Ironi Tiberias
1 : 0 Maccabi Bnei Raina
09 May
Maccabi Bnei Raina
1 : 1 Shmona
04 May
Sakhnin
0 : 2 Maccabi Bnei Raina
29 Apr
Maccabi Bnei Raina
0 : 1 Hapoel Jerusalem
Page 1 of 6
13 May
Ironi Tiberias
1 : 0 Maccabi Bnei Raina
04 May
Sakhnin
0 : 2 Maccabi Bnei Raina
25 Apr
SC Ashdod
1 : 2 Maccabi Bnei Raina
18 Apr
Hapoel Haifa
2 : 3 Maccabi Bnei Raina
11 Apr
Sakhnin
2 : 0 Maccabi Bnei Raina
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hapoel Haifa | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:4 | 9 |
| 2 | Maccabi Bnei Raina | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9:9 | 6 |
| 3 | Shmona | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:4 | 6 |
| 4 | Ironi Tiberias | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 4 |
| 5 | Sakhnin | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:6 | 4 |
Promotion - Toto Cup 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup 2025 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup 2025 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup 2025 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup 2025 (Placement Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hapoel Tel Aviv | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:4 | 9 |
| 2 | Hapoel Jerusalem | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:4 | 9 |
| 3 | Netanya | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:7 | 7 |
| 4 | Hapoel Petah Tikva | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:6 | 3 |
| 5 | SC Ashdod | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:8 | 1 |
Promotion - Toto Cup 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup 2025 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup 2025 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup 2025 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup 2025 (Placement Play Offs)