Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Shmona vs Sakhnin

Israel Israel

Toto Cup Kiryat Shmona Municipal Stadium, Kiryat Shmona
Our Tip

Match Events

28'
Khuri B.
36'
Taha A.
38'
Khuri B.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. This leg finished 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Shmona
15%
Draws
0%
Sakhnin
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Shmona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Shmona lately — more wins on the board than Sakhnin.
  • Win probability leans Shmona's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Shmona have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Shmona, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Shmona Clean Sheet 68%
Sakhnin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shmona Sakhnin
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 5
Draws 6 8
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 1.55 0.76
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 4, 2026 Toto Cup
Shmona vs Sakhnin
1:0
May 13, 2026 Ligat ha'Al
Sakhnin vs Shmona
0:4
Apr 4, 2026 Ligat ha'Al
Shmona vs Sakhnin
2:0
Dec 2, 2025 Ligat ha'Al
Sakhnin vs Shmona
1:1
Aug 6, 2025 Toto Cup
Sakhnin vs Shmona
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shmona 95 / 100
Sakhnin 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shmona Sakhnin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KIR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shmona scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Sakhnin lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Sakhnin's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Shmona VS Sakhnin
1.25 Goals Scored 0.38
1 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Shmona

(Home)
04 Aug
Shmona
1 : 0
Sakhnin
01 Aug
Ironi Tiberias
0 : 1
Shmona
28 Jul
Shmona
3 : 0
Maccabi Haifa
10 Jul
Hapoel Haifa
0 : 0
Shmona
07 Jul
Yehuda
2 : 0
Shmona
Page 1 of 6

Sakhnin

(Away)
04 Aug
Shmona
1 : 0
Sakhnin
01 Aug
Sakhnin
1 : 2
Hapoel Haifa
25 Jul
Ironi Tiberias
2 : 1
Sakhnin
18 May
Hapoel Haifa
3 : 0
Sakhnin
13 May
Sakhnin
0 : 4
Shmona
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shmona 4 4 0 0 8:1 12
2 Hapoel Haifa 4 3 0 1 9:7 9
3 Maccabi Haifa 4 2 0 2 7:8 6
4 Ironi Tiberias 4 1 0 3 5:9 3
5 Sakhnin 4 0 0 4 2:6 0
Promotion - Toto Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Netanya 4 3 0 1 9:5 9
2 Hapoel Ramat Gan 3 2 1 0 7:5 7
3 Hapoel Jerusalem 3 1 1 1 4:5 4
4 Hapoel Petah Tikva 3 1 0 2 2:4 3
5 Maccabi Petah Tikva 3 0 0 3 1:4 0
Promotion - Toto Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup (Placement Play Offs)