Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Shmona vs Sakhnin - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Israel Israel

Toto Cup Kiryat Shmona Municipal Stadium, Kiryat Shmona
Shmona Logo

Shmona

1 - 0
FT
Sakhnin Logo

Sakhnin

Our Tip

Match Events

28'
Khuri B.
36'
Taha A.
38'
Khuri B.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. This leg finished 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Shmona
15%
Draws
49%
Sakhnin
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sakhnin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Shmona lately — more wins on the board than Sakhnin.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Shmona have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Shmona, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Shmona Clean Sheet 20%
Sakhnin Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shmona Sakhnin
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 12 5
Draws 4 6
Losses 11 17
Goals Scored 1.48 0.54
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 4, 2026 Toto Cup
Shmona vs Sakhnin
1:0
May 13, 2026 Ligat ha'Al
Sakhnin vs Shmona
0:4
Apr 4, 2026 Ligat ha'Al
Shmona vs Sakhnin
2:0
Dec 2, 2025 Ligat ha'Al
Sakhnin vs Shmona
1:1
Aug 6, 2025 Toto Cup
Sakhnin vs Shmona
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shmona 32 / 100
Sakhnin 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shmona Sakhnin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shmona scored in 81% of their last 27 games.

Sakhnin let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Sakhnin has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Shmona VS Sakhnin
1.25 Goals Scored 0.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Shmona

(Home)
19 Sept
H. Beer Sheva
1 : 0
Shmona
14 Sept
Shmona
0 : 4
Maccabi Haifa
05 Sept
Hapoel Jerusalem
4 : 2
Shmona
29 Aug
Shmona
2 : 0
Ironi Tiberias
22 Aug
Maccabi Petah Tikva
2 : 1
Shmona
Page 1 of 6

Sakhnin

(Away)
19 Sept
Sakhnin
1 : 0
Hapoel Ramat Gan
14 Sept
Hapoel Haifa
3 : 1
Sakhnin
07 Sept
Sakhnin
0 : 1
Beitar Jerusalem
29 Aug
Sakhnin
1 : 2
Maccabi Petah Tikva
24 Aug
Netanya
0 : 0
Sakhnin
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shmona 4 4 0 0 8:1 12
2 Hapoel Haifa 4 3 0 1 9:7 9
3 Maccabi Haifa 4 2 0 2 7:8 6
4 Ironi Tiberias 4 1 0 3 5:9 3
5 Sakhnin 4 0 0 4 2:6 0
Promotion - Toto Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Netanya 4 3 0 1 9:5 9
2 Hapoel Ramat Gan 4 2 1 1 8:7 7
3 Hapoel Jerusalem 4 2 1 1 7:6 7
4 Maccabi Petah Tikva 4 1 0 3 3:5 3
5 Hapoel Petah Tikva 4 1 0 3 3:7 3
Promotion - Toto Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup (Placement Play Offs)