Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Shmona vs SC Ashdod

Israel Israel

Ligat ha'Al 2025/2026 Netanya Stadium, Netanya
Shmona Logo

Shmona

2 - 3
FT
SC Ashdod Logo

SC Ashdod

Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Dabush N.
Assist: Cuba M.
26'
Awany T.
37'
Ansah E.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

SC Ashdod in this Ligat ha'Al 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored SC Ashdod.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Shmona
15%
Draws
34%
SC Ashdod
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Shmona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Shmona lately — more wins on the board than SC Ashdod.
  • Shmona are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Ligat ha'Al 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Shmona Clean Sheet 20%
SC Ashdod Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shmona SC Ashdod
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 3
Draws 5 8
Losses 11 18
Goals Scored 1.62 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 18, 2026 Ligat ha'Al
Shmona vs SC Ashdod
2:3
Jan 11, 2026 Ligat ha'Al
SC Ashdod vs Shmona
2:5
Sep 27, 2025 Ligat ha'Al
Shmona vs SC Ashdod
1:2
May 10, 2025 Ligat ha'Al
SC Ashdod vs Shmona
4:2
Dec 22, 2024 Ligat ha'Al
Shmona vs SC Ashdod
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shmona Compare

Top Goalscorer Halabi J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ugarriza A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

SC Ashdod Compare

Top Goalscorer Dabush N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Boahen H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shmona 67 / 100
SC Ashdod 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shmona SC Ashdod

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shmona Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shmona found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

SC Ashdod let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 5.20 goals as a typical output.

Shmona went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Shmona VS SC Ashdod
1.38 Goals Scored 0.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Shmona

(Home)
22 Aug
Maccabi Petah Tikva
2 : 1
Shmona
16 Aug
Shmona
1 : 2
Hapoel Tel Aviv
08 Aug
Hapoel Haifa
1 : 3
Shmona
04 Aug
Shmona
1 : 0
Sakhnin
01 Aug
Ironi Tiberias
0 : 1
Shmona
Page 1 of 6

SC Ashdod

(Away)
24 Aug
SC Ashdod
1 : 0
Maccabi Jaffa
18 Aug
Hapoel Afula
2 : 0
SC Ashdod
10 Jul
SC Ashdod
1 : 3
Ironi Modiin
18 May
Shmona
2 : 3
SC Ashdod
13 May
SC Ashdod
0 : 1
Hapoel Jerusalem
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
7 Netanya 33 14 6 13 59:63 48
8 Shmona 33 11 7 15 50:53 40
9 Ironi Tiberias 33 12 8 13 45:56 36
10 Hapoel Haifa 33 8 10 15 39:51 34
11 Sakhnin 33 8 10 15 28:49 34
12 Hapoel Jerusalem 33 7 10 16 26:43 31
13 SC Ashdod 33 6 10 17 38:62 28
14 Maccabi Bnei Raina 33 6 4 23 26:69 22
Relegation - Leumit League (Main)