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Sholing vs Chertsey Town

England England

Southern League Premier South 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Higgs T.
22' Event
Targett B.
32' Event
Higgs T.

AI Match Summary

Sholing in this Southern League Premier South 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sholing.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Sholing
20%
Draws
52%
Chertsey Town
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Chertsey Town

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Sholing haven't matched Chertsey Town's recent run of results.
  • Chertsey Town are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Southern League Premier South 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Sholing Clean Sheet 12%
Chertsey Town Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sholing Chertsey Town
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 12 19
Draws 7 6
Losses 9 5
Goals Scored 1.64 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Sholing vs Chertsey Town
2:4
Mar 14, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Sholing vs Chertsey Town
4:0
Oct 21, 2025 Southern League Premier South
Chertsey Town vs Sholing
1:1
Feb 15, 2025 Southern League Premier South
Sholing vs Chertsey Town
3:0
Oct 22, 2024 Southern League Premier South
Chertsey Town vs Sholing
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sholing Compare

Top Goalscorer Higgs T.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Targett B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Chertsey Town Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sholing 14 / 100
Chertsey Town 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sholing Chertsey Town

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chertsey Town Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sholing scored in 86% of their last 28 games.

Chertsey Town's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Solid form: Sholing remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sholing VS Chertsey Town
1.13 Goals Scored 2.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sholing

(Home)
22 Aug
Sholing
2 : 4
Chertsey Town
15 Aug
Hanwell Town
0 : 0
Sholing
11 Aug
Poole Town
0 : 1
Sholing
08 Aug
Sholing
1 : 2
Bath City
25 Jul
Sholing
1 : 0
Folkestone
Page 1 of 6

Chertsey Town

(Away)
22 Aug
Sholing
2 : 4
Chertsey Town
15 Aug
Chertsey Town
1 : 1
Yate
11 Aug
Chertsey Town
4 : 1
Berkhamsted Town
08 Aug
Gloucester City
0 : 1
Chertsey Town
31 Jul
Chertsey Town
4 : 2
Westfield
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Walton & Hersham 42 29 5 8 94:42 92
2 Farnham 42 25 9 8 90:50 84
3 Gloucester City 42 25 7 10 93:51 82
4 Poole Town 42 21 12 9 80:50 75
5 Berkhamsted Town 42 21 9 12 62:50 72
6 Sholing 42 18 15 9 74:53 69
7 Chertsey Town 42 19 10 13 64:55 67
8 Gosport Borough 42 19 6 17 74:75 63
9 Uxbridge 42 15 14 13 74:70 59
10 Havant & Waterlooville 42 17 7 18 78:70 58
11 Plymouth Parkway 42 16 8 18 64:79 56
12 Bracknell Town 42 15 10 17 70:71 55
13 Yate 42 14 10 18 57:62 52
14 Hanwell Town 42 14 10 18 57:63 52
15 Wimborne 42 12 15 15 63:62 51
16 Taunton Town 42 14 9 19 65:70 51
17 Basingstoke 42 14 9 19 61:71 51
18 Evesham 42 11 14 17 51:62 47
19 Weymouth 42 13 8 21 53:71 47
20 Dorchester 42 9 13 20 48:79 40
21 Hungerford 42 9 11 22 47:87 38
22 Tiverton 42 5 3 34 39:115 18
Promotion - National League South (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South 2025/2026 (Play Offs)