Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Shonan Bellmare vs Iwaki

Japan Japan

J2/J3 League Lemon Gas Stadium, Hiratsuka
Shonan Bellmare Logo

Shonan Bellmare

Sat, May 30, 2026
1 - 2
05:00 AM
Iwaki Logo

Iwaki

Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Nakajima S.
Assist: Kato T.
46'
Sub
Ishibashi S. In: Shimoguchi W.
Out: Ishibashi S.
59'
Sub
Nagaki R. In: Tanaka K.
Out: Nagaki R.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. The second leg ended 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Shonan Bellmare
15%
Draws
35%
Iwaki
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Shonan Bellmare

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Shonan Bellmare's 1.39 goals per match outpaces what Iwaki have produced (1.36).
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Shonan Bellmare taking it.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Iwaki, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Shonan Bellmare Clean Sheet 68%
Iwaki Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shonan Bellmare Iwaki
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 16 16
Draws 2 1
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.39 1.36
Goals Conceded 0.96 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 J2/J3 League
Shonan Bellmare vs Iwaki
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shonan Bellmare Compare

Top Goalscorer Yamada H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Iwaki Compare

Top Goalscorer Nakajima S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Takahashi Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shonan Bellmare 95 / 100
Iwaki 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shonan Bellmare Iwaki

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shonan Bellmare Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shonan Bellmare scored in 86% of their last 28 games.

Shonan Bellmare went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Iwaki's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Shonan Bellmare VS Iwaki
1 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Shonan Bellmare

(Home)
26 Aug
Shonan Bellmare
1 : 0
Reinmeer Aomori
22 Aug
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
0 : 0
Shonan Bellmare
15 Aug
Shonan Bellmare
1 : 0
Montedio Yamagata
08 Aug
Oita Trinita
0 : 1
Shonan Bellmare
17 Jul
Kyoto
1 : 4
Shonan Bellmare
Page 1 of 6

Iwaki

(Away)
26 Aug
Iwaki
2 : 0
Oita Trinita
22 Aug
Oita Trinita
4 : 1
Iwaki
15 Aug
Fujieda MYFC
3 : 1
Iwaki
09 Aug
Iwaki
2 : 1
Imabari
12 Jul
Nagano Parceiro
1 : 3
Iwaki
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Blaublitz 2
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 1
Albirex Niigata 0
Kagoshima United 1
Thespakusatsu Gunma 0
Gifu 1
Kanazawa 1
Gainare Tottori 3
Kamatamare Sanuki 3
Giravanz Kitakyushu 1
Tochigi SC 0
Nagano Parceiro 1
Tokushima 3
Sagan Tosu 1
Shonan Bellmare 1
Iwaki 2
Yokohama FC 2
Omiya Ardija 1
Kochi United 2
Renofa Yamaguchi 3
Montedio Yamagata 1
Matsumoto Yamaga 2
Nara Club 4
Oita Trinita 3
SC Sagamihara 4
Fujieda MYFC 3
Ehime 0
Kumamoto 1
Vanraure 0
Fukushima United 1
Imabari 1
Ryukyu 2
Tochigi City 4
Iwata 3
FC Osaka 0
Reilac Shiga 1
Final
Blaublitz 0
Kagoshima United 2
Gifu 1
Gainare Tottori 2
Kamatamare Sanuki 0
Nagano Parceiro 1
Tokushima 2
Iwaki 0
Yokohama FC 2
Renofa Yamaguchi 1
Matsumoto Yamaga 0
Nara Club 2
SC Sagamihara 3
Kumamoto 0
Fukushima United 2
Ryukyu 1
Tochigi City 3
Reilac Shiga 1