Sport Picks
Shonan Bellmare vs Tochigi City
Japan
J2/J3 League Lemon Gas Stadium, Hiratsuka 
Match Events
1'
1'
Kase N.
Assist: Ota S.
16'
16'
Mori T.
Assist: Masukake Y.
45'
45'
Nishiya K.
AI Match Summary
Tochigi City in this J2/J3 League matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tochigi City.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
70%
20%
10%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Shonan Bellmare
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
70%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Shonan Bellmare lately — more wins on the board than Tochigi City.
- Model gives Shonan Bellmare a 70% chance of winning this.
- Regular J2/J3 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Shonan Bellmare Clean Sheet 15%
Tochigi City Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Shonan Bellmare | Tochigi City |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 16 | 14 |
| Draws | 3 | 1 |
| Losses | 10 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.41 | 1.53 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.14 | 1.6 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 2, 2026 J2/J3 League
Shonan Bellmare vs Tochigi City
1:2
Feb 28, 2026 J2/J3 League
Tochigi City vs Shonan Bellmare
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Shonan Bellmare Compare
Top Goalscorer Kase N.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Tochigi City Compare
Top Goalscorer Mori T.
1 Goals Assists Leader Nishiya K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Shonan Bellmare 84 / 100
Tochigi City 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Shonan Bellmare Tochigi City
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Shonan Bellmare Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Shonan Bellmare found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).
Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.
Defensive concern: Tochigi City conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.
Shonan Bellmare went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Shonan Bellmare VS Tochigi City
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Shonan Bellmare
(Home) 26 Sept
Imabari
1 : 2 Shonan Bellmare
19 Sept
Shonan Bellmare
1 : 1 Blaublitz
12 Sept
Vanraure
0 : 1 Shonan Bellmare
09 Sept
Matsumoto Yamaga
4 : 3 Shonan Bellmare
05 Sept
Shonan Bellmare
1 : 3 Vegalta Sendai
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Shonan Bellmare
1 : 1 Blaublitz
05 Sept
Shonan Bellmare
1 : 3 Vegalta Sendai
26 Aug
Shonan Bellmare
1 : 0 Reinmeer Aomori
15 Aug
Shonan Bellmare
1 : 0 Montedio Yamagata
30 May
Shonan Bellmare
1 : 2 Iwaki
Page 1 of 3
Tochigi City
(Away) 29 Sept
Tochigi City
0 : 2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima
26 Sept
Tokushima
3 : 0 Tochigi City
23 Sept
Machida Zelvia
2 : 1 Tochigi City
20 Sept
Tochigi City
1 : 3 Vegalta Sendai
12 Sept
Toyama
0 : 0 Tochigi City
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Tokushima
3 : 0 Tochigi City
23 Sept
Machida Zelvia
2 : 1 Tochigi City
12 Sept
Toyama
0 : 0 Tochigi City
06 Sept
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
1 : 4 Tochigi City
02 Sept
Vanraure
0 : 2 Tochigi City
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vegalta Sendai | 18 | 16 | 0 | 2 | 37:15 | 43 |
| 2 | Blaublitz | 18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 23:16 | 35 |
| 3 | Shonan Bellmare | 18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 28:20 | 31 |
| 4 | Yokohama FC | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 36:28 | 29 |
| 5 | SC Sagamihara | 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 33:36 | 28 |
| 6 | Thespakusatsu Gunma | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 27:39 | 23 |
| 7 | Montedio Yamagata | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 22:25 | 22 |
| 8 | Tochigi City | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 22:35 | 21 |
| 9 | Vanraure | 17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 16:23 | 18 |
| 10 | Tochigi SC | 17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 24:31 | 17 |
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kofu | 17 | 11 | 0 | 6 | 20:12 | 33 |
| 2 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | 18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 28:22 | 31 |
| 3 | Iwaki | 18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 26:20 | 31 |
| 4 | Omiya Ardija | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 39:29 | 30 |
| 5 | Fujieda MYFC | 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 24:23 | 30 |
| 6 | Gifu | 17 | 9 | 0 | 8 | 23:25 | 27 |
| 7 | Matsumoto Yamaga | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 33:25 | 26 |
| 8 | Iwata | 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 20:25 | 25 |
| 9 | Fukushima United | 18 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 30:43 | 18 |
| 10 | Nagano Parceiro | 18 | 5 | 0 | 13 | 17:36 | 16 |
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Toyama | 18 | 13 | 0 | 5 | 40:26 | 38 |
| 2 | Albirex Niigata | 18 | 12 | 0 | 6 | 24:19 | 35 |
| 3 | Tokushima | 18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 38:23 | 32 |
| 4 | Kochi United | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 25:23 | 30 |
| 5 | Ehime | 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 26:20 | 28 |
| 6 | Kanazawa | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 20:23 | 27 |
| 7 | Nara Club | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 27:36 | 21 |
| 8 | FC Osaka | 18 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 18:23 | 20 |
| 9 | Imabari | 18 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 15:21 | 20 |
| 10 | Kamatamare Sanuki | 18 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 15:34 | 19 |
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 18 | 15 | 0 | 3 | 35:13 | 47 |
| 2 | Kagoshima United | 18 | 12 | 0 | 6 | 27:16 | 33 |
| 3 | Sagan Tosu | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 26:18 | 32 |
| 4 | Renofa Yamaguchi | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 27:24 | 29 |
| 5 | Kumamoto | 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 21:21 | 27 |
| 6 | Gainare Tottori | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 24:25 | 27 |
| 7 | Oita Trinita | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 19:20 | 22 |
| 8 | Reilac Shiga | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 16:29 | 21 |
| 9 | Ryukyu | 18 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 17:28 | 17 |
| 10 | Giravanz Kitakyushu | 18 | 4 | 0 | 14 | 17:35 | 15 |
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)
