Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Shonan Bellmare vs Vegalta Sendai

Japan Japan

J2/J3 League Lemon Gas Stadium, Hiratsuka
Shonan Bellmare Logo

Shonan Bellmare

0 - 2
FT
Vegalta Sendai Logo

Vegalta Sendai

Our Tip

Match Events

34'
Onose K.
40'
Sub
Moraes M. In: Inoue S.
Out: Moraes M.
44'
Minoda K.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Vegalta Sendai in this J2/J3 League matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vegalta Sendai.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Shonan Bellmare
20%
Draws
47%
Vegalta Sendai
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Vegalta Sendai

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Vegalta Sendai have won more games recently than Shonan Bellmare.
  • Win probability leans Vegalta Sendai's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Shonan Bellmare Clean Sheet 14%
Vegalta Sendai Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shonan Bellmare Vegalta Sendai
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 21
Draws 3 2
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 1.41 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 J2 League
Shonan Bellmare vs Vegalta Sendai
1:3
May 16, 2026 J2/J3 League
Shonan Bellmare vs Vegalta Sendai
0:2
Mar 7, 2026 J2/J3 League
Vegalta Sendai vs Shonan Bellmare
2:1
Nov 20, 2021 J1 League
Vegalta Sendai vs Shonan Bellmare
0:2
Mar 13, 2021 J1 League
Shonan Bellmare vs Vegalta Sendai
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shonan Bellmare Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Vegalta Sendai Compare

Top Goalscorer Minami S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Araki S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shonan Bellmare 23 / 100
Vegalta Sendai 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shonan Bellmare Vegalta Sendai

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vegalta Sendai Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shonan Bellmare's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Vegalta Sendai let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Shonan Bellmare stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Shonan Bellmare VS Vegalta Sendai
1.25 Goals Scored 2.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
38% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Shonan Bellmare

(Home)
26 Sept
Imabari
1 : 2
Shonan Bellmare
19 Sept
Shonan Bellmare
1 : 1
Blaublitz
12 Sept
Vanraure
0 : 1
Shonan Bellmare
09 Sept
Matsumoto Yamaga
4 : 3
Shonan Bellmare
05 Sept
Shonan Bellmare
1 : 3
Vegalta Sendai
Page 1 of 6

Vegalta Sendai

(Away)
26 Sept
Iwaki
0 : 2
Vegalta Sendai
20 Sept
Tochigi City
1 : 3
Vegalta Sendai
13 Sept
Vegalta Sendai
1 : 1
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
09 Sept
Fukushima United
4 : 3
Vegalta Sendai
05 Sept
Shonan Bellmare
1 : 3
Vegalta Sendai
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vegalta Sendai 18 16 0 2 37:15 43
2 Blaublitz 18 11 0 7 23:16 35
3 Shonan Bellmare 18 11 0 7 28:20 31
4 Yokohama FC 18 10 0 8 36:28 29
5 SC Sagamihara 18 9 0 9 33:36 28
6 Thespakusatsu Gunma 18 7 0 11 27:39 23
7 Montedio Yamagata 18 8 0 10 22:25 22
8 Tochigi City 18 7 0 11 22:35 21
9 Vanraure 17 5 0 12 16:23 18
10 Tochigi SC 17 5 0 12 24:31 17
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kofu 17 11 0 6 20:12 33
2 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 18 11 0 7 28:22 31
3 Iwaki 18 11 0 7 26:20 31
4 Omiya Ardija 18 10 0 8 39:29 30
5 Fujieda MYFC 18 9 0 9 24:23 30
6 Gifu 17 9 0 8 23:25 27
7 Matsumoto Yamaga 18 8 0 10 33:25 26
8 Iwata 18 9 0 9 20:25 25
9 Fukushima United 18 6 0 12 30:43 18
10 Nagano Parceiro 18 5 0 13 17:36 16
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Toyama 18 13 0 5 40:26 38
2 Albirex Niigata 18 12 0 6 24:19 35
3 Tokushima 18 11 0 7 38:23 32
4 Kochi United 18 10 0 8 25:23 30
5 Ehime 18 9 0 9 26:20 28
6 Kanazawa 18 10 0 8 20:23 27
7 Nara Club 18 7 0 11 27:36 21
8 FC Osaka 18 6 0 12 18:23 20
9 Imabari 18 6 0 12 15:21 20
10 Kamatamare Sanuki 18 6 0 12 15:34 19
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tegevajaro Miyazaki 18 15 0 3 35:13 47
2 Kagoshima United 18 12 0 6 27:16 33
3 Sagan Tosu 18 10 0 8 26:18 32
4 Renofa Yamaguchi 18 10 0 8 27:24 29
5 Kumamoto 18 9 0 9 21:21 27
6 Gainare Tottori 18 10 0 8 24:25 27
7 Oita Trinita 18 7 0 11 19:20 22
8 Reilac Shiga 18 7 0 11 16:29 21
9 Ryukyu 18 6 0 12 17:28 17
10 Giravanz Kitakyushu 18 4 0 14 17:35 15
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)