Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Shooting vs Barau

Nigeria Nigeria

NPFL 2025/2026 Lekan Salami Stadium, Ibadan
Our Tip

Match Events

30'
Ayodele I.
39' Event
Emmanuel L.
51'
Emmanuel L.

AI Match Summary

Shooting in this NPFL 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Shooting.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Shooting
15%
Draws
42%
Barau
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Shooting

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Shooting lately — more wins on the board than Barau.
  • Model gives Barau a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
Shooting Clean Sheet 20%
Barau Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shooting Barau
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 15 13
Draws 3 10
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.1 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 NPFL
Shooting vs Barau
1:0
Dec 14, 2025 NPFL
Barau vs Shooting
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shooting Compare

Top Goalscorer Emmanuel L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Barau Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shooting 28 / 100
Barau 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shooting Barau

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Barau Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shooting went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Shooting's goal record stands at 58% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Barau let in goals in 53% of their last 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Shooting VS Barau
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 0.5
50% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Shooting

(Home)
01 Jun
Shooting
1 : 2
Kada Warriors
24 May
Niger Tornadoes
1 : 0
Shooting
10 May
Shooting
1 : 0
Barau
03 May
Shooting
3 : 2
Nasarawa United
19 Apr
El Kanemi Warriors
1 : 2
Shooting
Page 1 of 7

Barau

(Away)
11 Jun
Ikorodu City
3 : 2
Barau
06 Jun
Sunshine Stars U19
1 : 2
Barau
01 Jun
Barau
1 : 0
Abakaliki
24 May
Barau
3 : 0
Nasarawa United
10 May
Shooting
1 : 0
Barau
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rangers International 38 19 11 8 47:27 68
2 Rivers United 38 19 10 9 44:31 67
3 Shooting 38 18 6 14 41:40 60
4 Ikorodu City 38 16 10 12 43:39 58
5 Bendel 38 14 14 10 44:38 56
6 Nasarawa United 38 16 8 14 37:34 56
7 Abia Warriors 38 16 7 15 31:34 55
8 Barau 38 13 13 12 34:30 52
9 Katsina Utd 38 14 10 14 36:39 52
10 Plateau United 38 15 5 18 39:40 50
11 Enyimba International 38 13 10 15 44:42 49
12 Kun Khalifa 38 13 10 15 42:40 49
13 Warri Wolves 38 13 10 15 36:41 49
14 Niger Tornadoes 38 13 9 16 37:36 48
15 Kano Pillars 38 15 6 17 34:39 48
16 Kwara 38 13 11 14 32:36 47
17 Remo Stars 38 14 5 19 42:47 47
18 El Kanemi Warriors 38 13 8 17 27:46 47
19 Bayelsa United 38 11 10 17 37:42 43
20 Wikki Tourists 38 9 13 16 36:48 40
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)