Sport Picks
Shooting vs Nasarawa United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Nigeria
NPFL 2025/2026 Lekan Salami Stadium, Ibadan 
Match Events
4'
4'
Emmanuel L.
24'
24'
Emmanuel L.
42'
42'
Istifanus J.
AI Match Summary
The NPFL 2025/2026 game between Shooting and Nasarawa United finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Shooting.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
35%
32%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Nasarawa United haven't matched Shooting's recent run of results.
- Shooting are the model's pick here, at 42%.
- Regular NPFL 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Shooting Clean Sheet 17%
Nasarawa United Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Shooting | Nasarawa United |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 29 |
| Wins | 15 | 12 |
| Draws | 3 | 5 |
| Losses | 14 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.19 | 1.21 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.28 | 1.14 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 4, 2026 NPFL
Shooting vs Nasarawa United
0:0
May 3, 2026 NPFL
Shooting vs Nasarawa United
3:2
Dec 8, 2025 NPFL
Nasarawa United vs Shooting
1:0
Jan 29, 2025 NPFL
Shooting vs Nasarawa United
2:0
Sep 8, 2024 NPFL
Nasarawa United vs Shooting
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Shooting Compare
Top Goalscorer Emmanuel L.
2 Goals Assists Leader Adegoke Q.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Nasarawa United Compare
Top Goalscorer Istifanus J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Alakija H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Shooting 41 / 100
Nasarawa United 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Shooting Nasarawa United
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Nasarawa United's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Shooting went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Shooting's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 32 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Shooting VS Nasarawa United
1 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Shooting
(Home) 07 Oct
Shooting
0 : 0 Kano Pillars
04 Oct
Shooting
0 : 0 Nasarawa United
30 Sept
Enyimba International
4 : 2 Shooting
27 Sept
Warri Wolves
1 : 0 Shooting
23 Sept
Shooting
2 : 0 Katsina Utd
Page 1 of 7
07 Oct
Shooting
0 : 0 Kano Pillars
04 Oct
Shooting
0 : 0 Nasarawa United
23 Sept
Shooting
2 : 0 Katsina Utd
05 Sept
Shooting
1 : 0 CS Sfaxien
28 Aug
Shooting
2 : 1 Inter Lagos
Page 1 of 4
Nasarawa United
(Away) 04 Oct
Shooting
0 : 0 Nasarawa United
27 Sept
Nasarawa United
1 : 0 Niger Tornadoes
23 Sept
Kwara
2 : 1 Nasarawa United
20 Sept
Nasarawa United
1 : 1 Rivers United
18 Sept
Rangers International
2 : 1 Nasarawa United
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Shooting
0 : 0 Nasarawa United
23 Sept
Kwara
2 : 1 Nasarawa United
18 Sept
Rangers International
2 : 1 Nasarawa United
30 Aug
Barau
3 : 1 Nasarawa United
06 Jun
Rivers United
2 : 3 Nasarawa United
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rangers International | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 47:27 | 68 |
| 2 | Rivers United | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 44:31 | 67 |
| 3 | Shooting | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 41:40 | 60 |
| 4 | Ikorodu City | 38 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 43:39 | 58 |
| 5 | Bendel | 38 | 14 | 14 | 10 | 44:38 | 56 |
| 6 | Nasarawa United | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 37:34 | 56 |
| 7 | Abia Warriors | 38 | 16 | 7 | 15 | 31:34 | 55 |
| 8 | Barau | 38 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 34:30 | 52 |
| 9 | Katsina Utd | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 36:39 | 52 |
| 10 | Plateau United | 38 | 15 | 5 | 18 | 39:40 | 50 |
| 11 | Enyimba International | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 44:42 | 49 |
| 12 | Kun Khalifa | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 42:40 | 49 |
| 13 | Warri Wolves | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 36:41 | 49 |
| 14 | Niger Tornadoes | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 37:36 | 48 |
| 15 | Kano Pillars | 38 | 15 | 6 | 17 | 34:39 | 48 |
| 16 | Kwara | 38 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 32:36 | 47 |
| 17 | Remo Stars | 38 | 14 | 5 | 19 | 42:47 | 47 |
| 18 | El Kanemi Warriors | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 27:46 | 47 |
| 19 | Bayelsa United | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 37:42 | 43 |
| 20 | Wikki Tourists | 38 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 36:48 | 40 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
