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Shortan Guzor vs Istiklol Fergana

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Pro Liga 2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Pro Liga 2019 game between Shortan Guzor and Istiklol Fergana finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Shortan Guzor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Shortan Guzor
28%
Draws
22%
Istiklol Fergana
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Shortan Guzor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Shortan Guzor come out ahead of Istiklol Fergana on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Shortan Guzor's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Pro Liga 2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Shortan Guzor Clean Sheet 16%
Istiklol Fergana Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shortan Guzor Istiklol Fergana
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 11 9
Draws 9 12
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1.13 0
Goals Conceded 2 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2021 Pro Liga
Shortan Guzor vs Istiklol Fergana
0:0
Oct 9, 2020 Pro Liga
Istiklol Fergana vs Shortan Guzor
1:0
Jul 3, 2020 Pro Liga
Shortan Guzor vs Istiklol Fergana
2:0
Nov 13, 2019 Pro Liga
Shortan Guzor vs Istiklol Fergana
2:2
Sep 22, 2019 Pro Liga
Istiklol Fergana vs Shortan Guzor
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shortan Guzor 48 / 100
Istiklol Fergana 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shortan Guzor Istiklol Fergana

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SHO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shortan Guzor's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Shortan Guzor stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Istiklol Fergana conceded in 47% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Shortan Guzor VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mashal Muborak28167552:2455
2Istiklol Fergana28165764:2853
3Oktepa Tashkent28163962:4251
4Neftchi Fargona281531040:2648
5Shortan Guzor281531055:3648
6Xorazm Urganch28145958:3747
7Sherdor28422239:7514
8Iftixor28122516:1185