Sport Picks

Northern Ireland

Irish Cup 2018/2019

Shorts

1 - 3

Abbey Villa

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-3, with Abbey Villa advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%

Shorts

15%

Draws

46%

Abbey Villa

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Abbey Villa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and Abbey Villa come out ahead of Shorts on wins alone.
46% — that's where the model lands on Abbey Villa taking it.
Abbey Villa arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Abbey Villa, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 91%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 100%

Over 2.5 Goals 91%

Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 37%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%

Shorts Clean Sheet 10%

Abbey Villa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Shorts	Abbey Villa
Matches Played	11	21
Wins	4	10
Draws	0	1
Losses	7	10
Goals Scored	2.64	2.05
Goals Conceded	3.45	2.05
Expected Goals (xG)	2.63	2.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 3, 2018 Irish Cup

Shorts vs Abbey Villa

1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shorts 14 / 100

Abbey Villa 65 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Shorts Abbey Villa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Abbey Villa Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shorts found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (11 games).

Abbey Villa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 21 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Solid form: Shorts remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Shorts VS Abbey Villa

3.25 Goals Scored 2.5

3.38 Goals Conceded 2

100% Over 1.5 100%

88% Over 2.5 100%

88% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Shorts

(Home)

28 Sept

Islandmagee

5 : 2

Shorts

03 Nov

Shorts

1 : 3

Abbey Villa

29 Sept

Colin Valley

3 : 4

Shorts

18 Aug

Silverwood

1 : 8

Shorts

19 Aug

Crumlin Star

9 : 1

Shorts

Page 1 of 3

Abbey Villa

(Away)

23 Jul

Abbey Villa

2 : 2

Ards

17 Aug

St. James' Swifts

4 : 1

Abbey Villa

05 Jan

Portadown

5 : 1

Abbey Villa

01 Dec

Tullycarnet

3 : 4

Abbey Villa

03 Nov

Shorts

1 : 3

Abbey Villa

Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/256-finals

Ballinamallard -

TBD -

PSNI -

Ards -

TBD -

Carrick Rangers -

Glenavon -

TBD -

Islandmagee 6

Cookstown Youth 1

Aquinas 3

Foundry 4

Moneyslane FC -

TBD -

Bangor Swifts 1

Crumlin United 2

Newtowne FC 6

18th Newtownabbey Old Boys 3

Broomhedge 1

Ballynahinch Olympic 12

Annagh -

TBD -

Rosemount Rec -

Cliftonville -

TBD -

Dungannon -

Larne Technical Old Boys 2

St Luke's 0

TBD -

Dundonald -

Dunmurry Rec 4

Mossley FC 3

Iveagh Utd 2

Dungiven 5

Lurgan Town Boys -

TBD -

Ballynure Old Boys 2

Desertmartin 3

Armagh -

TBD -

Hanover 0

Dunloy 2

TBD -

Limavady -

Knockbreda -

TBD -

St. James' Swifts 2

Sofia Farmer 1

Seapatrick 1

Coagh Utd 6

Ards Rangers -

TBD -

Holywood 1

Newbuildings 2

Banbridge -

TBD -

Dunmurry Y.M. 4

Rathfriland Rangers 5

Ballymoney 2

Rosario Youth 1

Derriaghy 1

Strabane Athletic 2

Queens University -

TBD -

Dollingstown -

Ardstraw 7

Dromore Amateurs 0

TBD -

Tobermore -

Brantwood 4

Orangefield Old Boys' 2

Saintfield 1

Laurelvale 3

Valley Rangers 3

Tandragee 2

TBD -

Newington FC -

Comber Rec 1

Immaculata 0

Dromara 1

Lisburn Rangers 2

Downshire Y.M. -

TBD -

Drumaness -

Shankill -

TBD -

Bangor Old Boys -

Wellington Rec -

TBD -

Lisburn Distillery -

Institute -

TBD -

Warrenpoint -

Coleraine -

TBD -

Harland & Wolff -

Maiden City 9

Malachians 2

Lower Maze 2

Trojans 3

Ballynahinch United 3

Groomsport 2

TBD -

Seagoe -

Lurgan Celtic -

TBD -

Woodvale 2

St. Patricks Young 3

Oxford Sunnyside 6

Bryansburn 3

TBD -

Portstewart -

TBD -

Dergview -

Crumlin Star -

TBD -

Markethill 3

Killyleagh Youth 5

Banbridge Rangers 2

Sirocco 0

Glebe 1

Bangor FC 2

Sport & Leisure -

TBD -

Ballymacash 1

Kilmore Rec 3

Moyola -

TBD -

Crewe -

TBD -

Loughgall -

Newry City -

TBD -

Larne -

Ballymena -

TBD -

Dundela -

Abbey Villa -

TBD -

Chimney 2

Grove 5

Colin Valley 2

Suffolk 1

Silverwood 1

Shorts 8

Fivemiletown 7

Bloomfield 0

Oxford Stars 0

Wakehurst 1

Bangor Amateurs FC 3

Newcastle 2

Tullyvallen Rangers 3

Tullycarnet 4

TBD -

Portadown -

Linfield -

TBD -

Ballyclare -

Glentoran -

TBD -

Crusaders -

1/128-finals

Ballinamallard -

TBD -

PSNI -

Ards -

TBD -

Carrick Rangers -

Glenavon -

TBD -

Islandmagee 2

Foundry 1

Moneyslane FC 1

Crumlin United 5

Newtowne FC 1

Ballynahinch Olympic 0

Annagh 1

Rosemount Rec 2

Cliftonville -

TBD -

Dungannon -

Larne Technical Old Boys 3

Dundonald 0

Dunmurry Rec 1

Dungiven 4

Lurgan Town Boys 4

Desertmartin 1

Armagh 0

Dunloy 2

TBD -

Limavady -

Knockbreda -

TBD -

St. James' Swifts 4

Coagh Utd 2

Ards Rangers 0

Newbuildings 2

Banbridge 3

Rathfriland Rangers 1

Ballymoney 1

Strabane Athletic 5

Queens University 4

Dollingstown 3

Ardstraw 3

Tobermore 5

Brantwood 2

Laurelvale 1

Valley Rangers 1

Newington FC 3

Comber Rec 4

Lisburn Rangers 1

Downshire Y.M. 0

Drumaness 4

Shankill 2

Bangor Old Boys 1

Wellington Rec 0

Lisburn Distillery 2

Institute -

TBD -

Warrenpoint -

Coleraine -

TBD -

Harland & Wolff -

Maiden City 3

Trojans 1

Ballynahinch United 3

Seagoe 4

Lurgan Celtic -

St. Patricks Young -

Oxford Sunnyside -

Portstewart -

TBD -

Dergview -

Crumlin Star 3

Killyleagh Youth 2

Banbridge Rangers 0

Bangor FC 2

Sport & Leisure 2

Kilmore Rec 1

Moyola 1

Crewe 2

TBD -

Loughgall -

Newry City -

TBD -

Larne -

Ballymena -

TBD -

Dundela -

Abbey Villa 4

Grove 3

Colin Valley 3

Shorts 4

Fivemiletown 3

Wakehurst 2

Bangor Amateurs FC 0

Tullycarnet 1

TBD -

Portadown -

Linfield -

TBD -

Ballyclare -

Glentoran -

TBD -

Crusaders -

1/64-finals

Ballinamallard -

TBD -

PSNI -

Ards -

TBD -

Carrick Rangers -

Glenavon -

TBD -

Islandmagee 3

Crumlin United 1

Newtowne FC 1

Rosemount Rec 2

Cliftonville -

TBD -

Dungannon -

Larne Technical Old Boys 2

Dungiven 1

Lurgan Town Boys 1

Dunloy 2

TBD -

Limavady -

Knockbreda -

TBD -

St. James' Swifts 2

Newbuildings 0

Banbridge 0

Strabane Athletic 2

Queens University 6

Tobermore 3

Brantwood 2

Newington FC 3

Comber Rec 2

Drumaness 1

Shankill 2

Lisburn Distillery 4

Institute -

TBD -

Warrenpoint -

Coleraine -

TBD -

Harland & Wolff -

Maiden City 4

Seagoe 1

Lurgan Celtic 2

Portstewart 3

TBD -

Dergview -

Crumlin Star 5

Bangor FC 3

Sport & Leisure 0

Crewe 1

TBD -

Loughgall -

Newry City -

TBD -

Larne -

Ballymena -

TBD -

Dundela -

Abbey Villa 3

Shorts 1

Fivemiletown 1

Tullycarnet 2

TBD -

Portadown -

Linfield -

TBD -

Ballyclare -

Glentoran -

TBD -

Crusaders -

1/32-finals

Ballinamallard -

TBD -

PSNI -

Ards -

TBD -

Carrick Rangers -

Glenavon -

TBD -

Islandmagee 1

Rosemount Rec 3

Cliftonville -

TBD -

Dungannon -

Larne Technical Old Boys 2

Dunloy 0

TBD -

Limavady -

Knockbreda -

TBD -

St. James' Swifts 0

Strabane Athletic 2

Queens University 4

Newington FC 1

Comber Rec 3

Lisburn Distillery 4

Institute -

TBD -

Warrenpoint -

Coleraine -

TBD -

Harland & Wolff -

Maiden City 1

Portstewart 0

TBD -

Dergview -

Crumlin Star 2

Crewe 1

TBD -

Loughgall -

Newry City -

TBD -

Larne -

Ballymena -

TBD -

Dundela -

Abbey Villa 4

Tullycarnet 3

TBD -

Portadown -

Linfield -

TBD -

Ballyclare -

Glentoran -

TBD -

Crusaders -

1/16-finals

Ballinamallard 5

PSNI 1

Ards 0

Carrick Rangers 1

Glenavon 5

Rosemount Rec 0

Cliftonville 0

Dungannon 1

Larne Technical Old Boys 2

Limavady 0

Knockbreda 1

Strabane Athletic 2

Queens University 6

Lisburn Distillery 0

Institute 0

Warrenpoint 2

Coleraine 2

Harland & Wolff 0

Maiden City 2

Dergview 3

Crumlin Star 4

Loughgall 1

Newry City 1

Larne 2

Ballymena 3

Dundela 1

Abbey Villa 1

Portadown 5

Linfield 1

Ballyclare 0

Glentoran 1

Crusaders 4

1/8-finals

Ballinamallard 1

Carrick Rangers 0

Glenavon 0

Dungannon 1

Larne Technical Old Boys 3

Strabane Athletic 1

Queens University 0

Warrenpoint 2

Coleraine 3

Dergview 0

Crumlin Star 1

Larne 3

Ballymena 4

Portadown 1

Linfield 1

Crusaders 2

Quarter-finals

Ballinamallard 3

Dungannon 2

Larne Technical Old Boys 1

Warrenpoint 3

Coleraine 5

Larne 3

Ballymena 0

Crusaders 3

Semi-finals

Ballinamallard 1

Warrenpoint 0

Coleraine 0

Crusaders 2

Final

Ballinamallard 0

Crusaders 3

Shorts vs Abbey Villa

Northern Ireland

Shorts

Abbey Villa

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Shorts

Abbey Villa

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Install Sokapicks PWA