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Shrewsbury vs Exeter - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

League Two The Croud Meadow, Shrewsbury
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Shrewsbury host Exeter in the League Two. This one's hard to separate. Shrewsbury have averaged 0.94 scored and 1.45 conceded recently, against Exeter's 1 scored and 1.3 conceded. Past meetings favor Exeter slightly — 0-3-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 8, 2025, ending 2:0. The numbers (1.00 xG vs 1.00) point toward Shrewsbury. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Shrewsbury
30%
Draws
41%
Exeter
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Exeter

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Shrewsbury have won more games recently than Exeter.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 33%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Shrewsbury Clean Sheet 20%
Exeter Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shrewsbury Exeter
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 6
Draws 6 9
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 0.94 1
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2025 League One
Exeter vs Shrewsbury
2:0
Oct 17, 2024 League One
Shrewsbury vs Exeter
0:2
Mar 12, 2024 League One
Shrewsbury vs Exeter
0:3
Nov 28, 2023 League One
Exeter vs Shrewsbury
0:0
Feb 14, 2023 League One
Exeter vs Shrewsbury
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shrewsbury 32 / 100
Exeter 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shrewsbury Exeter

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Exeter's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Shrewsbury went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Shrewsbury scored in 55% of their last 31 games.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Scoring Trends

Shrewsbury VS Exeter
1 Goals Scored 0.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Shrewsbury

(Home)
06 Oct
Shrewsbury
0 : 2
Stockport County
03 Oct
Grimsby
1 : 2
Shrewsbury
26 Sept
Shrewsbury
2 : 2
Colchester
22 Sept
Tranmere
1 : 0
Shrewsbury
19 Sept
Crewe
1 : 1
Shrewsbury
Page 1 of 7

Exeter

(Away)
06 Oct
Exeter
3 : 2
Oxford Utd
03 Oct
Exeter
1 : 0
Rotherham
26 Sept
Bristol Rovers
1 : 0
Exeter
22 Sept
Cheltenham
3 : 2
Exeter
19 Sept
Exeter
0 : 0
Tranmere
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Salford 9 5 1 3 13:10 16
2 Barnet 7 4 3 0 17:10 15
3 Crewe 9 3 6 0 11:7 15
4 Cheltenham 9 4 3 2 16:14 15
5 Bristol Rovers 9 5 0 4 14:14 15
6 York City 8 4 2 2 16:10 14
7 Walsall 8 3 5 0 11:5 14
8 Chesterfield 9 4 2 3 15:12 14
9 Grimsby 9 3 4 2 13:10 13
10 Gillingham 9 3 4 2 11:9 13
11 Rochdale 9 4 1 4 10:11 13
12 Tranmere 9 2 5 2 12:12 11
13 Swindon 9 3 2 4 9:13 11
14 Shrewsbury 9 3 2 4 9:14 11
15 Newport 9 2 4 3 12:12 10
16 Accrington 9 2 4 3 13:14 10
17 Rotherham 9 2 4 3 11:12 10
18 Fleetwood Town 9 2 4 3 9:10 10
19 Colchester 8 2 4 2 10:12 10
20 Exeter 9 2 3 4 5:6 9
21 Oldham 8 2 1 5 9:13 7
22 Northampton 7 1 3 3 3:6 6
23 Port Vale 7 1 2 4 3:9 5
24 Crawley Town 7 1 1 5 6:13 4
Promotion - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League 2027/2028 (Main)