Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Shrewsbury vs Fleetwood Town

England England

League Two 2025/2026 The Croud Meadow, Shrewsbury
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Perry T.
Own Goal
56'
Sub
Anderson T. In: Ruffels J.
Out: Anderson T.
56'
Sub
Marquis J. In: McDermott T.
Out: Marquis J.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this League Two 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Shrewsbury
44%
Draws
20%
Fleetwood Town
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Fleetwood Town average 1.75 goals a game right now, well clear of Shrewsbury's 1.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular League Two 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Shrewsbury Clean Sheet 17%
Fleetwood Town Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shrewsbury Fleetwood Town
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 11 11
Draws 4 9
Losses 14 7
Goals Scored 1 1.75
Goals Conceded 1 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 League Two
Shrewsbury vs Fleetwood Town
2:2
Nov 22, 2025 League Two
Fleetwood Town vs Shrewsbury
3:1
Jan 1, 2024 League One
Shrewsbury vs Fleetwood Town
3:1
Aug 26, 2023 League One
Fleetwood Town vs Shrewsbury
0:1
Jan 1, 2023 League One
Shrewsbury vs Fleetwood Town
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shrewsbury Compare

Top Goalscorer Ruffels J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kabia I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Fleetwood Town Compare

Top Goalscorer McLean C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shrewsbury 36 / 100
Fleetwood Town 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shrewsbury Fleetwood Town

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FLE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Fleetwood Town has conceded goals in 67% of their last 27 outings.

Solid form: Shrewsbury remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Shrewsbury scored in 59% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

Shrewsbury VS Fleetwood Town
1 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 0.63
38% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Shrewsbury

(Home)
25 Jul
Shrewsbury
1 : 4
West Brom
21 Jul
Shrewsbury
1 : 0
Everton U21
19 Jul
Shrewsbury
4 : 0
Isle of Man
17 Jul
Radcliffe
1 : 0
Shrewsbury
14 Jul
Stafford
0 : 0
Shrewsbury
Page 1 of 6

Fleetwood Town

(Away)
21 Jul
Fleetwood Town
2 : 1
Huddersfield
18 Jul
Southport
0 : 1
Fleetwood Town
14 Jul
Fleetwood Town
2 : 0
Chester
11 Jul
Bamber Bridge
0 : 5
Fleetwood Town
02 May
Fleetwood Town
1 : 1
Milton Keynes Dons
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bromley462415771:4687
2Milton Keynes Dons462414886:4586
3Cambridge Utd462216866:3382
4Salford462561561:5181
5Notts County462481474:5280
6Chesterfield462116971:5679
7Grimsby4622121274:5078
8Barnet4621131270:5376
9Swindon462291570:5975
10Oldham4618141460:4468
11Crewe4619101764:5867
12Colchester4618121662:4966
13Walsall4618111756:5665
14Bristol Rovers461952256:6562
15Fleetwood Town4615161557:5861
16Accrington4614112147:5853
17Gillingham4613141953:7253
18Cheltenham4614102253:7952
19Shrewsbury4613102342:6949
20Newport461272748:7743
21Tranmere4610112554:7941
22Crawley Town468162244:6840
23Harrogate461092739:6839
24Barrow46992845:7836
Promotion - League One (Main)
Promotion - League Two 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League (Main)