Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Shrewsbury vs Oldham

England England

League Two 2025/2026 The Croud Meadow, Shrewsbury
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Boyle W.
Assist: Perry T.
46'
Sub
Payne K. In: Garner J.
Out: Payne K.
47'
Morgan I.

AI Match Summary

The League Two 2025/2026 game between Shrewsbury and Oldham finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Shrewsbury.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Shrewsbury
20%
Draws
30%
Oldham
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Shrewsbury

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Oldham carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Shrewsbury are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular League Two 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Shrewsbury Clean Sheet 68%
Oldham Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shrewsbury Oldham
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 8 12
Draws 6 3
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 0.86 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 League Two
Shrewsbury vs Oldham
1:0
Oct 25, 2025 League Two
Oldham vs Shrewsbury
2:2
Aug 3, 2024 Club Friendly
Oldham vs Shrewsbury
1:0
Jan 23, 2018 EFL Trophy
Shrewsbury vs Oldham
2:1
Jan 1, 2018 League One
Shrewsbury vs Oldham
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shrewsbury Compare

Top Goalscorer Boyle W.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Oldham Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shrewsbury 95 / 100
Oldham 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shrewsbury Oldham

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shrewsbury Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Oldham let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Shrewsbury stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Oldham lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Shrewsbury VS Oldham
0.63 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Shrewsbury

(Home)
26 Sept
Shrewsbury
2 : 2
Colchester
22 Sept
Tranmere
1 : 0
Shrewsbury
19 Sept
Crewe
1 : 1
Shrewsbury
12 Sept
Shrewsbury
2 : 0
Northampton
05 Sept
Fleetwood Town
2 : 0
Shrewsbury
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Oldham

(Away)
26 Sept
Oldham
1 : 4
Salford
22 Sept
Oldham
1 : 0
Fleetwood Town
19 Sept
Rochdale
2 : 0
Oldham
12 Sept
Oldham
1 : 2
Chesterfield
05 Sept
Tranmere
2 : 0
Oldham
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bromley 46 24 15 7 71:46 87
2 Milton Keynes Dons 46 24 14 8 86:45 86
3 Cambridge Utd 46 22 16 8 66:33 82
4 Salford 46 25 6 15 61:51 81
5 Notts County 46 24 8 14 74:52 80
6 Chesterfield 46 21 16 9 71:56 79
7 Grimsby 46 22 12 12 74:50 78
8 Barnet 46 21 13 12 70:53 76
9 Swindon 46 22 9 15 70:59 75
10 Oldham 46 18 14 14 60:44 68
11 Crewe 46 19 10 17 64:58 67
12 Colchester 46 18 12 16 62:49 66
13 Walsall 46 18 11 17 56:56 65
14 Bristol Rovers 46 19 5 22 56:65 62
15 Fleetwood Town 46 15 16 15 57:58 61
16 Accrington 46 14 11 21 47:58 53
17 Gillingham 46 13 14 19 53:72 53
18 Cheltenham 46 14 10 22 53:79 52
19 Shrewsbury 46 13 10 23 42:69 49
20 Newport 46 12 7 27 48:77 43
21 Tranmere 46 10 11 25 54:79 41
22 Crawley Town 46 8 16 22 44:68 40
23 Harrogate 46 10 9 27 39:68 39
24 Barrow 46 9 9 28 45:78 36
Promotion - League One (Main)
Promotion - League Two 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League (Main)