Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Shrewsbury vs Oldham

England England

League Two 2025/2026 The Croud Meadow, Shrewsbury
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Boyle W.
Assist: Perry T.
46'
Sub
Payne K. In: Garner J.
Out: Payne K.
47'
Morgan I.

AI Match Summary

The League Two 2025/2026 game between Shrewsbury and Oldham finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Shrewsbury.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Shrewsbury
22%
Draws
18%
Oldham
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Shrewsbury

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Oldham carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Shrewsbury are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular League Two 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Shrewsbury Clean Sheet 68%
Oldham Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shrewsbury Oldham
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 13
Draws 5 5
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.75 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 League Two
Shrewsbury vs Oldham
1:0
Oct 25, 2025 League Two
Oldham vs Shrewsbury
2:2
Aug 3, 2024 Club Friendly
Oldham vs Shrewsbury
1:0
Jan 23, 2018 EFL Trophy
Shrewsbury vs Oldham
2:1
Jan 1, 2018 League One
Shrewsbury vs Oldham
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shrewsbury Compare

Top Goalscorer Boyle W.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Oldham Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shrewsbury 68 / 100
Oldham 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shrewsbury Oldham

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SHR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shrewsbury scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Oldham let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Shrewsbury went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Shrewsbury VS Oldham
1 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 2
38% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Shrewsbury

(Home)
28 Jul
Hereford
1 : 1
Shrewsbury
25 Jul
Shrewsbury
1 : 4
West Brom
21 Jul
Shrewsbury
1 : 0
Everton U21
19 Jul
Shrewsbury
4 : 0
Isle of Man
17 Jul
Radcliffe
1 : 0
Shrewsbury
Page 1 of 6

Oldham

(Away)
28 Jul
Oldham
0 : 1
Stockport County
24 Jul
Huddersfield
3 : 1
Oldham
21 Jul
Oldham
1 : 3
Bolton
02 May
Oldham
3 : 0
Accrington
25 Apr
Newport
3 : 2
Oldham
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bromley462415771:4687
2Milton Keynes Dons462414886:4586
3Cambridge Utd462216866:3382
4Salford462561561:5181
5Notts County462481474:5280
6Chesterfield462116971:5679
7Grimsby4622121274:5078
8Barnet4621131270:5376
9Swindon462291570:5975
10Oldham4618141460:4468
11Crewe4619101764:5867
12Colchester4618121662:4966
13Walsall4618111756:5665
14Bristol Rovers461952256:6562
15Fleetwood Town4615161557:5861
16Accrington4614112147:5853
17Gillingham4613141953:7253
18Cheltenham4614102253:7952
19Shrewsbury4613102342:6949
20Newport461272748:7743
21Tranmere4610112554:7941
22Crawley Town468162244:6840
23Harrogate461092739:6839
24Barrow46992845:7836
Promotion - League One (Main)
Promotion - League Two 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League (Main)