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Shturmi vs FC Gareji Sagarejo

Georgia Georgia

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 Sartichala Central Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Kalandadze L.
18' Event
Gogitadze L.
26'
Tolordava L.

AI Match Summary

FC Gareji Sagarejo in this Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Gareji Sagarejo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Shturmi
40%
Draws
29%
FC Gareji Sagarejo
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: FC Gareji Sagarejo at 1.63 per game, Shturmi at 0.88.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Shturmi Clean Sheet 19%
FC Gareji Sagarejo Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shturmi FC Gareji Sagarejo
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 14 14
Draws 12 7
Losses 5 9
Goals Scored 0.88 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 17, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
FC Gareji Sagarejo vs Shturmi
0:0
Apr 26, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Shturmi vs FC Gareji Sagarejo
1:2
Nov 9, 2024 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
FC Gareji Sagarejo vs Shturmi
5:1
Sep 1, 2024 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Shturmi vs FC Gareji Sagarejo
1:1
May 24, 2024 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
FC Gareji Sagarejo vs Shturmi
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shturmi Compare

Top Goalscorer Gogitadze L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

FC Gareji Sagarejo Compare

Top Goalscorer Kalandadze L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Babunadze T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shturmi 32 / 100
FC Gareji Sagarejo 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shturmi FC Gareji Sagarejo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Shturmi scored in 71% of their last 31 games.

FC Gareji Sagarejo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Shturmi has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Shturmi VS FC Gareji Sagarejo
0.88 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Gareji Sagarejo19116224:1239
2Telavi19105422:1535
3Merani Martvili1986523:2030
4Shturmi1969417:1427
5Dusheti1974818:2325
6Bolnisi1967625:2025
7Odishi 19191966723:2624
8Kolkheti 19131946924:2418
9Gori1937913:2416
10Samtredia19441125:3616