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Shturmi vs Gagra

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Shturmi and Gagra finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Shturmi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Shturmi
20%
Draws
40%
Gagra
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Shturmi come out ahead of Gagra on wins alone.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Shturmi taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Shturmi Clean Sheet 16%
Gagra Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shturmi Gagra
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 10
Draws 11 10
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 1.1 1.21
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2026 Club Friendly
Shturmi vs Gagra
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shturmi 39 / 100
Gagra 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shturmi Gagra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shturmi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gagra's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

Shturmi found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Shturmi remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Shturmi VS Gagra
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Shturmi

(Home)
16 Sept
Telavi
1 : 1
Shturmi
12 Sept
Shturmi
2 : 0
Odishi 1919
06 Sept
Dusheti
3 : 4
Shturmi
29 Aug
Gori
3 : 1
Shturmi
22 Aug
Shturmi
0 : 1
Samtredia
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Gagra

(Away)
14 Sept
Dinamo Tbilisi
4 : 0
Gagra
10 Sept
Gagra
1 : 1
Torpedo Kutaisi
05 Sept
Dila Gori
1 : 0
Gagra
31 Aug
Gagra
2 : 0
Iberia 1999
26 Aug
Gagra
1 : 0
Dusheti
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