Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Shturmi vs Samtredia

Georgia Georgia

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 Sartichala Central Stadium, Sartichala
Shturmi Logo

Shturmi

0 - 1
FT
Samtredia Logo

Samtredia

Our Tip

Match Events

10'
Gvishiani G.
26'
Tsulaia L.
28'
Mandzhgaladze G.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 game between Shturmi and Samtredia finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Samtredia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Shturmi
15%
Draws
53%
Samtredia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Samtredia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Samtredia come out ahead of Shturmi on wins alone.
  • 53% — that's where the model lands on Samtredia taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Shturmi Clean Sheet 12%
Samtredia Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shturmi Samtredia
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 12
Draws 10 4
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.11 1.71
Goals Conceded 0.89 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Shturmi vs Samtredia
0:1
Jul 26, 2026 Georgian Cup
Samtredia vs Shturmi
2:1
May 16, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Samtredia vs Shturmi
1:1
Mar 15, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Shturmi vs Samtredia
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shturmi 10 / 100
Samtredia 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shturmi Samtredia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Samtredia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shturmi's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Samtredia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.75 goals per match.

Shturmi has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Shturmi VS Samtredia
1.38 Goals Scored 2.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Shturmi

(Home)
12 Sept
Shturmi
2 : 0
Odishi 1919
06 Sept
Dusheti
3 : 4
Shturmi
29 Aug
Gori
3 : 1
Shturmi
22 Aug
Shturmi
0 : 1
Samtredia
15 Aug
Bolnisi
0 : 1
Shturmi
Page 1 of 6

Samtredia

(Away)
12 Sept
Samtredia
6 : 1
FC Gareji Sagarejo
07 Sept
Telavi
0 : 3
Samtredia
02 Sept
Samtredia
2 : 0
Iberia 1999
28 Aug
Samtredia
3 : 0
Odishi 1919
22 Aug
Shturmi
0 : 1
Samtredia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Gareji Sagarejo 25 13 8 4 33:26 47
2 Telavi 25 11 8 6 27:23 41
3 Shturmi 25 10 9 6 27:22 39
4 Merani Martvili 25 9 7 9 28:28 34
5 Samtredia 25 10 4 11 43:39 34
6 Bolnisi 25 8 9 8 33:30 33
7 Dusheti 25 9 5 11 28:35 32
8 Odishi 1919 25 7 7 11 27:36 28
9 Gori 25 6 8 11 25:32 26
10 Kolkheti 1913 25 5 9 11 32:32 24
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga 3 2027 (Main)