Sport Picks
Match Events
32'
32'
Patsatsia T.
(Penalty)
40'
40'
Sardalishvili M.
42'
42'
Maisashvili D.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
15%
85%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Samgurali
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Samgurali have won more games recently than Shukura.
- 85% — that's where the model lands on Samgurali taking it.
- Regular Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Shukura Clean Sheet 19%
Samgurali Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Shukura | Samgurali |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 32 |
| Wins | 2 | 13 |
| Draws | 6 | 5 |
| Losses | 21 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.1 | 1.69 |
| Goals Conceded | 3.52 | 1.84 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.29 | 1.30 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 8, 2023 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Samgurali vs Shukura
5:0
Jun 6, 2023 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Shukura vs Samgurali
2:2
Apr 30, 2023 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Samgurali vs Shukura
4:1
Mar 4, 2023 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Shukura vs Samgurali
2:1
Nov 24, 2021 Georgian Cup
Shukura vs Samgurali
2:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Shukura Compare
Top Goalscorer Sardalishvili M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65
Samgurali Compare
Top Goalscorer Kagayama T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.72
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Shukura 10 / 100
Samgurali 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Shukura Samgurali
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Samgurali Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Samgurali let in goals in 81% of their last 32 matches.
Games between these two average 4.40 goals.
Shukura found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).
Samgurali's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
- VS Samgurali
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Shukura
(Home) 02 Dec
Shukura
0 : 9 Gagra
28 Nov
Torpedo Kutaisi
9 : 0 Shukura
24 Nov
Shukura
0 : 9 Samtredia
10 Nov
Dinamo Tbilisi
4 : 2 Shukura
04 Nov
Shukura
1 : 2 Dila Gori
Page 1 of 6
02 Dec
Shukura
0 : 9 Gagra
24 Nov
Shukura
0 : 9 Samtredia
04 Nov
Shukura
1 : 2 Dila Gori
20 Oct
Shukura
1 : 2 Iberia 1999
02 Oct
Shukura
0 : 6 Dinamo Batumi
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Samgurali
(Away) 19 Sept
Samgurali
2 : 3 Dinamo Tbilisi
14 Sept
Torpedo Kutaisi
3 : 2 Samgurali
09 Sept
Samgurali
1 : 3 Dila Gori
05 Sept
Iberia 1999
2 : 1 Samgurali
30 Aug
Samgurali
1 : 1 FC Rustavi
Page 1 of 7
14 Sept
Torpedo Kutaisi
3 : 2 Samgurali
05 Sept
Iberia 1999
2 : 1 Samgurali
26 Aug
Dila Gori
2 : 1 Samgurali
22 Aug
Spaeri
3 : 4 Samgurali
09 Aug
Meshakhte Tkibuli
1 : 2 Samgurali
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dinamo Batumi | 36 | 21 | 11 | 4 | 83:41 | 74 |
| 2 | Dinamo Tbilisi | 36 | 21 | 8 | 7 | 93:49 | 71 |
| 3 | Torpedo Kutaisi | 36 | 16 | 12 | 8 | 55:37 | 60 |
| 4 | Dila Gori | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 56:39 | 60 |
| 5 | Samgurali | 36 | 16 | 9 | 11 | 53:51 | 57 |
| 6 | Iberia 1999 | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 58:49 | 51 |
| 7 | Gagra | 36 | 10 | 8 | 18 | 47:65 | 38 |
| 8 | Telavi | 36 | 10 | 7 | 19 | 34:62 | 37 |
| 9 | Samtredia | 36 | 9 | 6 | 21 | 50:62 | 33 |
| 10 | Shukura | 36 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 38:112 | 11 |
Promotion - Champions League 2024/2025 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2024/2025 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2024/2025 (Qualification)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2023 (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2023 (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2024 (Main)
