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Shumen 1929 vs Dunav Ruse

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-East 2014/2015
Shumen 1929 Logo

Shumen 1929

1 - 4
FT
Dunav Ruse Logo

Dunav Ruse

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Dunav Ruse in this Third League - North-East 2014/2015 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dunav Ruse.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Shumen 1929
35%
Draws
19%
Dunav Ruse
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Shumen 1929

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Shumen 1929 have won more games recently than Dunav Ruse.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Shumen 1929 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Shumen 1929 Clean Sheet 20%
Dunav Ruse Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shumen 1929 Dunav Ruse
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 5
Draws 7 12
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.6 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2015 Third League - North-East
Shumen 1929 vs Dunav Ruse
1:4
Oct 3, 2014 Third League - North-East
Dunav Ruse vs Shumen 1929
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shumen 1929 49 / 100
Dunav Ruse 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shumen 1929 Dunav Ruse

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shumen 1929 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Shumen 1929 scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Dunav Ruse's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Shumen 1929 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Dunav Ruse
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Shumen 1929

(Home)
22 May
Shumen 1929
0 : 0
Septemvri Tervel
15 May
Inter Plachidol
3 : 2
Shumen 1929
07 May
Shumen 1929
1 : 1
Botev Novi Pazar
29 Apr
Chernomorets Balchik
3 : 0
Shumen 1929
23 Apr
Shumen 1929
3 : 0
Dve Mogili
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Dunav Ruse

(Away)
26 Sept
Cherno More
1 : 0
Dunav Ruse
19 Sept
Dunav Ruse
2 : 2
Botev Vratsa
12 Sept
CSKA 1948 Sofia
2 : 1
Dunav Ruse
07 Sept
Dunav Ruse
0 : 1
Slavia Sofia
31 Aug
Dunav Ruse
2 : 2
Lok. Sofia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dunav Ruse 30 28 1 1 121:11 85
2 Chernomorets Balchik 30 24 4 2 85:14 76
3 Kaliakra 30 23 3 4 93:21 72
4 Suvorovo 30 19 2 9 47:38 59
5 FK Ticha 30 17 2 11 59:38 53
6 Benkovski Byala 30 15 4 11 46:39 49
7 Septemvri Tervel 30 15 1 14 43:46 46
8 Kubrat 30 14 3 13 48:45 45
9 Svetkavitsa 30 14 3 13 42:44 45
10 Botev Novi Pazar 30 12 2 16 45:61 38
11 Belitsa 30 10 4 16 39:58 34
12 Shumen 1929 30 9 5 16 41:52 32
13 Dve Mogili 30 6 4 20 19:53 22
14 Chernomorets Byala 30 6 3 21 25:68 21
15 Provadia 30 4 1 25 30:109 13
16 Dorostol 30 2 2 26 12:98 8
Promotion - B PFG 2015/2016 (Main)