Sport Picks
Shumen 2007 vs Botev Novi Pazar
Bulgaria
Third League - North-East 2022/2023 
AI Match Summary
Shumen 2007 in this Third League - North-East 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Shumen 2007.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
35%
35%
30%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Botev Novi Pazar lately — more wins on the board than Shumen 2007.
- 35% — that's where the model lands on Shumen 2007 taking it.
- Regular Third League - North-East 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Shumen 2007 Clean Sheet 18%
Botev Novi Pazar Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Shumen 2007 | Botev Novi Pazar |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 15 | 29 |
| Wins | 3 | 8 |
| Draws | 1 | 7 |
| Losses | 11 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 0.8 | 1.41 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.87 | 1.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.54 | 1.36 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 21, 2023 Third League - North-East
Shumen 2007 vs Botev Novi Pazar
3:2
Nov 13, 2022 Third League - North-East
Botev Novi Pazar vs Shumen 2007
1:2
Apr 9, 2022 Third League - North-East
Botev Novi Pazar vs Shumen 2007
2:2
Oct 2, 2021 Third League - North-East
Shumen 2007 vs Botev Novi Pazar
1:1
Apr 10, 2021 Third League - North-East
Botev Novi Pazar vs Shumen 2007
1:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Shumen 2007 58 / 100
Botev Novi Pazar 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Shumen 2007 Botev Novi Pazar
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Shumen 2007 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.40 goals.
Botev Novi Pazar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.
Shumen 2007 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Shumen 2007 scored in 47% of their last 15 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Botev Novi Pazar
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Shumen 2007
(Home) 03 Jun
Chernolomets
8 : 0 Shumen 2007
21 May
Shumen 2007
3 : 2 Botev Novi Pazar
14 May
Dunav Ruse II
0 : 1 Shumen 2007
06 May
Shumen 2007
0 : 0 Dorostol
30 Apr
Ustrem Donchevo
4 : 1 Shumen 2007
Page 1 of 3
21 May
Shumen 2007
3 : 2 Botev Novi Pazar
06 May
Shumen 2007
0 : 0 Dorostol
22 Apr
Shumen 2007
3 : 2 Lokomotiv Ruse
01 Apr
Shumen 2007
0 : 4 Ludogorets III
18 Mar
Shumen 2007
0 : 1 Cherno More II
Page 1 of 2
Botev Novi Pazar
(Away) 26 Sept
Cherno More II
1 : 1 Botev Novi Pazar
19 Sept
Botev Novi Pazar
0 : 0 Chernomorets Balchik
13 Sept
Chernolomets
4 : 0 Botev Novi Pazar
05 Sept
Botev Novi Pazar
0 : 0 Ludogorets III
26 Aug
Botev Novi Pazar
5 : 1 Ustrem Donchevo
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Cherno More II
1 : 1 Botev Novi Pazar
13 Sept
Chernolomets
4 : 0 Botev Novi Pazar
22 Aug
Fratria II
3 : 6 Botev Novi Pazar
30 May
Cherno More II
3 : 1 Botev Novi Pazar
16 May
Fratria II
3 : 2 Botev Novi Pazar
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chernomorets Balchik | 28 | 25 | 2 | 1 | 86:13 | 77 |
| 2 | Septemvri Tervel | 28 | 21 | 5 | 2 | 70:18 | 68 |
| 3 | Svetkavitsa | 28 | 17 | 5 | 6 | 42:23 | 56 |
| 4 | Chernolomets | 28 | 17 | 4 | 7 | 68:24 | 55 |
| 5 | Ludogorets III | 28 | 17 | 3 | 8 | 79:31 | 54 |
| 6 | Cherno More II | 28 | 15 | 2 | 11 | 63:33 | 47 |
| 7 | FK Riltzi | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 46:43 | 46 |
| 8 | Spartak Varna II | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 44:35 | 44 |
| 9 | Dorostol | 28 | 12 | 4 | 12 | 28:40 | 40 |
| 10 | Shumen 2007 | 28 | 7 | 1 | 20 | 26:62 | 22 |
| 11 | Dunav Ruse II | 28 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 26:63 | 22 |
| 12 | Ustrem Donchevo | 28 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 28:67 | 21 |
| 13 | Lokomotiv Ruse | 28 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 33:56 | 21 |
| 14 | Sportist Toshevo | 28 | 5 | 3 | 20 | 31:96 | 18 |
| 15 | Botev Novi Pazar | 28 | 4 | 0 | 24 | 20:86 | 12 |
Promotion - Vtora liga 2023/2024 (Main)
