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Shumen 2007 vs Dorostol

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-East 2023/2024
Sat, Nov 18, 2023
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Shumen 2007 host Dorostol in the Third League - North-East 2023/2024. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Dorostol have shipped 1.92 goals a game lately, while Shumen 2007 have conceded 2.87 and scored 0.8. Head-to-head, Shumen 2007 have won 1 to Dorostol's 1, with 3 draws. They last met on Nov 18, 2023, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.79 vs 0.68, favoring Dorostol. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Shumen 2007
20%
Draws
10%
Dorostol
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Shumen 2007

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Dorostol come out ahead of Shumen 2007 on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Shumen 2007's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Third League - North-East 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Shumen 2007 Clean Sheet 20%
Dorostol Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shumen 2007 Dorostol
Matches Played 15 38
Wins 3 11
Draws 1 6
Losses 11 21
Goals Scored 0.8 1.11
Goals Conceded 2.87 1.92
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 0.68
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 18, 2023 Third League - North-East
Shumen 2007 vs Dorostol
0:0
May 6, 2023 Third League - North-East
Shumen 2007 vs Dorostol
0:0
Oct 29, 2022 Third League - North-East
Dorostol vs Shumen 2007
1:0
Mar 26, 2022 Third League - North-East
Dorostol vs Shumen 2007
1:1
Sep 11, 2021 Third League - North-East
Shumen 2007 vs Dorostol
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shumen 2007 85 / 100
Dorostol 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shumen 2007 Dorostol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shumen 2007 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dorostol let in goals in 71% of their last 38 matches.

Solid form: Shumen 2007 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Difficult form: Dorostol registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Shumen 2007 scored in 47% of their last 15 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Dorostol
0 Goals Scored 0.25
0 Goals Conceded 2.38
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Shumen 2007

(Home)
03 Jun
Chernolomets
8 : 0
Shumen 2007
21 May
Shumen 2007
3 : 2
Botev Novi Pazar
14 May
Dunav Ruse II
0 : 1
Shumen 2007
06 May
Shumen 2007
0 : 0
Dorostol
30 Apr
Ustrem Donchevo
4 : 1
Shumen 2007
Page 1 of 3

Dorostol

(Away)
19 Sept
Devnya 2005
2 : 2
Dorostol
06 Sept
Benkovski
5 : 1
Dorostol
29 Aug
Dorostol
0 : 3
Volov Shumen
26 Aug
FK Riltzi
1 : 0
Dorostol
22 Aug
Dorostol
0 : 4
Svetkavitsa 2014
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ludogorets III 26 19 4 3 69:16 61
2 Fratria 26 19 4 3 71:20 61
3 Septemvri Tervel 26 18 4 4 52:19 58
4 Cherno More II 26 16 8 2 49:17 56
5 Chernolomets 26 17 2 7 54:31 53
6 Spartak Varna II 26 16 2 8 66:27 50
7 Benkovski 26 11 2 13 48:45 35
8 Dorostol 26 10 4 12 36:50 34
9 FK Riltzi 26 9 6 11 40:45 33
10 Ustrem Donchevo 26 7 4 15 36:58 25
11 Svetkavitsa 26 4 7 15 26:54 19
12 Dunav Ruse II 26 4 4 18 26:64 16
13 Lokomotiv Ruse 26 2 5 19 22:73 11
14 Kubrat 26 2 0 24 10:86 6
15 Shumen 2007 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
16 Sportist Toshevo 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Vtora liga 2024/2025 (Main)