Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Shymkent vs Ile-Saulet

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First Division 2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The First Division 2012 game between Shymkent and Ile-Saulet finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ile-Saulet.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Shymkent
15%
Draws
69%
Ile-Saulet
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ile-Saulet

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ile-Saulet come out ahead of Shymkent on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Ile-Saulet's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Ile-Saulet have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Shymkent Clean Sheet 20%
Ile-Saulet Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shymkent Ile-Saulet
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 2 15
Draws 6 8
Losses 22 7
Goals Scored 0.77 1.83
Goals Conceded 2.8 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 28, 2013 First League
Ile-Saulet vs Shymkent
6:0
Apr 26, 2013 First League
Shymkent vs Ile-Saulet
2:2
Sep 11, 2012 First League
Ile-Saulet vs Shymkent
2:0
Jul 3, 2012 First League
Shymkent vs Ile-Saulet
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shymkent 10 / 100
Ile-Saulet 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shymkent Ile-Saulet

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ile-Saulet Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ile-Saulet has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.75 goals as a typical output.

Shymkent scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Solid form: Shymkent remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Shymkent VS Ile-Saulet
0.88 Goals Scored 2.38
3.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Shymkent

(Home)
26 Oct
Kyzylzhar
6 : 1
Shymkent
23 Oct
Okzhetpes
6 : 0
Shymkent
16 Oct
Shymkent
0 : 1
Zhenis
13 Oct
Shymkent
1 : 3
Gefest Karagandy
01 Oct
CSKA Almaty
1 : 2
Shymkent
Page 1 of 6

Ile-Saulet

(Away)
26 Oct
Gefest Karagandy
0 : 1
Ile-Saulet
23 Oct
Zhenis
1 : 1
Ile-Saulet
16 Oct
CSKA Almaty
1 : 6
Ile-Saulet
01 Oct
Ile-Saulet
3 : 1
Taraz-Karatau 2
28 Sept
Ile-Saulet
6 : 0
Shymkent
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ile-Saulet 30 17 10 3 52:20 61
2 Vostok Oskemen 30 16 9 5 40:21 57
3 Zhenis 30 16 9 5 38:17 57
4 Bayterek Astana 30 14 11 5 39:19 53
5 FK Kyran 30 14 6 10 51:38 48
6 Spartak Semey 30 14 4 12 38:45 46
7 Shakhtar Bulat 30 12 10 8 30:23 46
8 Kaspij Aktau 30 12 7 11 39:31 43
9 Ak Bulak 30 11 8 11 34:29 41
10 Taraz-Karatau 2 30 11 8 11 33:28 41
11 Kyzylzhar 30 11 7 12 36:43 40
12 FC Ekibastuz 30 11 4 15 45:43 37
13 Kairat Almaty 2 30 9 9 12 37:41 36
14 Aktobe Zhas 30 8 2 20 31:62 26
15 CSKA Almaty 30 4 6 20 18:55 18
16 Shymkent 30 3 4 23 20:66 13
Promotion - Premier League 2013 (Main)