Sport Picks
Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Biala Podlaska - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Poland
III Liga - Group IV 
Match Events
7'
7'
Kasia A.
49'
49'
Czapla K.
AI Match Summary
Siarka Tarnobrzeg in this III Liga - Group IV matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Siarka Tarnobrzeg.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Biala Podlaska have won more games recently than Siarka Tarnobrzeg.
- Model gives Siarka Tarnobrzeg a 40% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Siarka Tarnobrzeg Clean Sheet 20%
Biala Podlaska Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Siarka Tarnobrzeg | Biala Podlaska |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 10 |
| Draws | 8 | 10 |
| Losses | 14 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.3 | 1.76 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.6 | 1.34 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 19, 2026 III Liga - Group IV
Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Biala Podlaska
2:0
Apr 11, 2026 III Liga - Group IV
Biala Podlaska vs Siarka Tarnobrzeg
2:2
Sep 20, 2025 III Liga - Group IV
Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Biala Podlaska
1:2
May 31, 2025 III Liga - Group IV
Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Biala Podlaska
2:2
Nov 9, 2024 III Liga - Group IV
Biala Podlaska vs Siarka Tarnobrzeg
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Siarka Tarnobrzeg Compare
Top Goalscorer Kasia A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Czapla K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Biala Podlaska Compare
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Siarka Tarnobrzeg 85 / 100
Biala Podlaska 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Siarka Tarnobrzeg Biala Podlaska
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Siarka Tarnobrzeg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Siarka Tarnobrzeg scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.
Defensive concern: Biala Podlaska conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.
Biala Podlaska lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Siarka Tarnobrzeg VS Biala Podlaska
1.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
(Home) 09 Oct
Wislanie Skawina
4 : 1 Siarka Tarnobrzeg
03 Oct
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
1 : 2 Korona Kielce II
26 Sept
Star Starachowice
4 : 1 Siarka Tarnobrzeg
19 Sept
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
2 : 0 Biala Podlaska
12 Sept
Chelmianka Chelm
1 : 1 Siarka Tarnobrzeg
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
1 : 2 Korona Kielce II
19 Sept
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
2 : 0 Biala Podlaska
01 Sept
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
3 : 2 Zaglebie
29 Aug
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
1 : 0 Wisloka Debica
19 Aug
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
1 : 3 Jaroslaw
Page 1 of 3
Biala Podlaska
(Away) 01 Oct
Biala Podlaska
2 : 2 Star Starachowice
26 Sept
Chelmianka Chelm
2 : 1 Biala Podlaska
19 Sept
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
2 : 0 Biala Podlaska
11 Sept
Biala Podlaska
2 : 1 KS Wieczysta Krakow II
06 Sept
Wisloka Debica
1 : 0 Biala Podlaska
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Chelmianka Chelm
2 : 1 Biala Podlaska
19 Sept
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
2 : 0 Biala Podlaska
06 Sept
Wisloka Debica
1 : 0 Biala Podlaska
22 Aug
Jaroslaw
2 : 0 Biala Podlaska
15 Aug
Czarni Polaniec
0 : 2 Biala Podlaska
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chelmianka Chelm | 11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 18:5 | 27 |
| 2 | Wisloka Debica | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 16:13 | 22 |
| 3 | Naprzod Jedrzejow | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 27:21 | 20 |
| 4 | Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 16:9 | 20 |
| 5 | Czarni Polaniec | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 18:16 | 20 |
| 6 | Wislanie Skawina | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 15:11 | 17 |
| 7 | Jaroslaw | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 27:20 | 17 |
| 8 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 14:15 | 14 |
| 9 | Hetman Zamosc | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 20:20 | 14 |
| 10 | Busko-Zdroj | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 17:21 | 14 |
| 11 | Kolbuszowa Dolna | 11 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 12:12 | 13 |
| 12 | Wisla II | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 13:16 | 13 |
| 13 | Biala Podlaska | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10:13 | 12 |
| 14 | Korona Kielce II | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 23:27 | 11 |
| 15 | Star Starachowice | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 13:17 | 11 |
| 16 | KS Wieczysta Krakow II | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 10:14 | 11 |
| 17 | Moravia Morawica | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 13:22 | 8 |
| 18 | Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 11:21 | 7 |
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)
