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Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Busko-Zdroj

World World

Club Friendly 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Lisowski P.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2024 game between Siarka Tarnobrzeg and Busko-Zdroj finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Siarka Tarnobrzeg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
22%
Draws
18%
Busko-Zdroj
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Siarka Tarnobrzeg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Siarka Tarnobrzeg come out ahead of Busko-Zdroj on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Siarka Tarnobrzeg's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Siarka Tarnobrzeg here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 26.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Siarka Tarnobrzeg Clean Sheet 20%
Busko-Zdroj Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Siarka Tarnobrzeg Busko-Zdroj
Matches Played 31 8
Wins 10 1
Draws 10 2
Losses 11 5
Goals Scored 0.75 0.6
Goals Conceded 1.13 2.2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.60
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.20

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Club Friendly
Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Busko-Zdroj
1:0
Jul 17, 2024 Club Friendly
Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Busko-Zdroj
1:0
Jul 22, 2023 Club Friendly
Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Busko-Zdroj
5:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Siarka Tarnobrzeg Compare

Top Goalscorer Lisowski P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Busko-Zdroj Compare

Avg xG / game 0.55
Avg xA / game 0.33

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Siarka Tarnobrzeg 58 / 100
Busko-Zdroj 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Siarka Tarnobrzeg Busko-Zdroj

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Siarka Tarnobrzeg's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Busko-Zdroj let in goals in 75% of their last 8 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Busko-Zdroj lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Siarka Tarnobrzeg VS Busko-Zdroj
0.75 Goals Scored 0.6
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.2
63% Over 1.5 60%
38% Over 2.5 60%
13% Over 3.5 40%

Recent Form & Match History

Siarka Tarnobrzeg

(Home)
18 Jul
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
3 : 4
R. Rzeszow
11 Jul
Wisloka Debica
0 : 0
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
04 Jul
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
1 : 0
Busko-Zdroj
30 May
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
5 : 6
Cracovia II
24 May
Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
3 : 1
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
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Busko-Zdroj

(Away)
21 Jul
Busko-Zdroj
0 : 4
Nea Salamis
18 Jul
Busko-Zdroj
0 : 3
Naprzod Jedrzejow
11 Jul
Busko-Zdroj
3 : 3
Glinik/Karpatia Gorlice
04 Jul
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
1 : 0
Busko-Zdroj
20 Jul
Busko-Zdroj
3 : 2
Czarni Polaniec
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