Sport Picks
Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
Poland
III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026 
Match Events
22'
22'
Szkiela M.
27'
27'
Szkiela M.
38'
38'
Kaliniec S.
AI Match Summary
The III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026 game between Siarka Tarnobrzeg and Sparta Kazimierza Wielka finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Siarka Tarnobrzeg.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
65%
15%
20%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Siarka Tarnobrzeg
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Siarka Tarnobrzeg come out ahead of Sparta Kazimierza Wielka on wins alone.
- 65% — that's where the model lands on Siarka Tarnobrzeg taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Siarka Tarnobrzeg Clean Sheet 12%
Sparta Kazimierza Wielka Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Siarka Tarnobrzeg | Sparta Kazimierza Wielka |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 2 |
| Draws | 8 | 1 |
| Losses | 13 | 27 |
| Goals Scored | 1.7 | 0.7 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.42 | 3.4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 24, 2026 III Liga - Group IV
Sparta Kazimierza Wielka vs Siarka Tarnobrzeg
3:1
Nov 8, 2025 III Liga - Group IV
Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
5:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Siarka Tarnobrzeg Compare
Top Goalscorer Szkiela M.
2 Goals Assists Leader Kaliniec S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
Sparta Kazimierza Wielka Compare
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Siarka Tarnobrzeg 83 / 100
Sparta Kazimierza Wielka 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Siarka Tarnobrzeg Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Siarka Tarnobrzeg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sparta Kazimierza Wielka let in goals in 97% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 4.50 goals.
Siarka Tarnobrzeg scored in 76% of their last 33 games.
Solid form: Siarka Tarnobrzeg remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Siarka Tarnobrzeg VS Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
1.88 Goals Scored 1.5
2 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
(Home) 26 Sept
Star Starachowice
4 : 1 Siarka Tarnobrzeg
19 Sept
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
2 : 0 Biala Podlaska
12 Sept
Chelmianka Chelm
1 : 1 Siarka Tarnobrzeg
05 Sept
KS Wieczysta Krakow II
0 : 2 Siarka Tarnobrzeg
01 Sept
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
3 : 2 Zaglebie
Page 1 of 7
19 Sept
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
2 : 0 Biala Podlaska
01 Sept
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
3 : 2 Zaglebie
29 Aug
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
1 : 0 Wisloka Debica
19 Aug
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
1 : 3 Jaroslaw
08 Aug
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
0 : 1 Czarni Polaniec
Page 1 of 4
Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
(Away) 30 May
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
2 : 0 Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
24 May
Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
3 : 1 Siarka Tarnobrzeg
16 May
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
4 : 0 Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
13 May
Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
0 : 5 Biala Podlaska
08 May
Wisloka Debica
3 : 0 Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
Page 1 of 6
30 May
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
2 : 0 Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
16 May
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
4 : 0 Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
08 May
Wisloka Debica
3 : 0 Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
25 Apr
Swidniczanka Swidnik
4 : 1 Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
12 Apr
Naprzod Jedrzejow
7 : 1 Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Avia Swidnik | 34 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 84:35 | 77 |
| 2 | Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 66:30 | 74 |
| 3 | Chelmianka Chelm | 34 | 21 | 9 | 4 | 65:31 | 72 |
| 4 | Korona Kielce II | 34 | 18 | 4 | 12 | 66:59 | 58 |
| 5 | Star Starachowice | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 51:43 | 55 |
| 6 | Czarni Polaniec | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 59:49 | 53 |
| 7 | Biala Podlaska | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 60:48 | 52 |
| 8 | Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 61:45 | 51 |
| 9 | Wislanie Skawina | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 52:51 | 51 |
| 10 | Wisla II | 34 | 15 | 4 | 15 | 67:58 | 49 |
| 11 | Wisloka Debica | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 37:35 | 48 |
| 12 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 59:52 | 43 |
| 13 | Naprzod Jedrzejow | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 45:55 | 38 |
| 14 | Kolbuszowa Dolna | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 36:54 | 37 |
| 15 | Stal Krasnik | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 42:52 | 34 |
| 16 | Cracovia II | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 44:71 | 33 |
| 17 | Swidniczanka Swidnik | 34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 35:80 | 19 |
| 18 | Sparta Kazimierza Wielka | 34 | 4 | 1 | 29 | 29:110 | 13 |
Promotion - Division 2 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
