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Stadium Background

Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Unia Tarnow

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group IV 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Bociek K.
26' Event
Lisowski P.
29' Event
Iwao K.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group IV 2024/2025 game between Siarka Tarnobrzeg and Unia Tarnow finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Siarka Tarnobrzeg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
17%
Draws
13%
Unia Tarnow
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Siarka Tarnobrzeg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Siarka Tarnobrzeg carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Siarka Tarnobrzeg a 70% chance of winning this.
  • Regular III Liga - Group IV 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Siarka Tarnobrzeg here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Siarka Tarnobrzeg Clean Sheet 18%
Unia Tarnow Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Siarka Tarnobrzeg Unia Tarnow
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 10 2
Draws 10 3
Losses 10 22
Goals Scored 1.13 0
Goals Conceded 1.63 2.5
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2025 III Liga - Group IV
Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Unia Tarnow
4:1
Sep 28, 2024 III Liga - Group IV
Unia Tarnow vs Siarka Tarnobrzeg
0:1
Jul 20, 2024 Club Friendly
Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Unia Tarnow
6:0
May 15, 2024 III Liga - Group IV
Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Unia Tarnow
3:0
Oct 21, 2023 III Liga - Group IV
Unia Tarnow vs Siarka Tarnobrzeg
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Siarka Tarnobrzeg Compare

Top Goalscorer Iwao K.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Lisowski P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Unia Tarnow Compare

Top Goalscorer Bociek K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Siarka Tarnobrzeg 67 / 100
Unia Tarnow 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Siarka Tarnobrzeg Unia Tarnow

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Unia Tarnow conceded in 93% of 27 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Siarka Tarnobrzeg scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Difficult form: Unia Tarnow registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Siarka Tarnobrzeg VS Unia Tarnow
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sandecja Nowy S.34228465:3174
2Podhale Nowy Targ34215867:4368
3Siarka Tarnobrzeg34205976:4265
4Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski34196955:4063
5Avia Swidnik34188877:4462
6Korona Kielce II341710771:5061
7Star Starachowice341671161:4655
8Biala Podlaska341581159:4253
9Chelmianka Chelm341651374:6253
10Wisloka Debica341441661:5546
11Czarni Polaniec341181552:6441
12Wisla II341181572:6041
13Swidniczanka Swidnik341091544:5439
14Wislanie Skawina341091541:6039
15Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow341071750:6837
16Wiazownica34791838:7030
17Lewart Lubartow34542531:8519
18Unia Tarnow34242828:10610